Tether has recently doubled its holdings in gold, attracting market attention. Analysts believe this could be a strategic move to lay out a tokenization plan for the gold market, aimed at meeting the rise in demand for the USDT stablecoin and Tether Gold (XAUT). By 2025, Tether's treasury will hold approximately 116 tons of gold, most of which was purchased this year, and its reserve scale can rival that of small central banks like South Korea. According to the Financial Times, Tether purchased 26 tons of gold in the third quarter, surpassing the demand of the central banks of Kazakhstan and Brazil during the same period. Investment bank Jefferies pointed out that, aside from central banks, Tether is the largest holder of gold in the world, with gold reserves "roughly equivalent to smaller central banks such as those of South Korea, Hungary, and Greece."

In November, the Crypto Assets market experienced severe Fluctuation, with the TOTAL3 index plummeting significantly. A large amount of funds flowed into stablecoins, resulting in the market capitalization of alts evaporating by over 1 trillion USD. The TOTAL3 index represents the total market capitalization excluding Bitcoin and stablecoins, serving as an important indicator for measuring the capital rotation in different encryption zones. Analysts generally believe that the current market conditions may signify the end of the altcoin bear market, rather than the conclusion of an overall bull market. Market data shows that the fall of Bitcoin has led to the influx of funds into stablecoins, which then gradually rotate back into altcoins. An analyst named "Stockmoney Lizards" described this pattern as a waiting period.

Due to the US market being closed for Thanksgiving, insufficient liquidity has led to increased fluctuations in currency trading. The US dollar is currently retreating, possibly marking the largest weekly fall since July. Experts believe that the strategy of going long on the dollar is unlikely in the future.

ChainCatcher news, according to Cointelegraph, Tom Lee stated in an interview with CNBC on Wednesday: "I believe Bitcoin is very likely to break 100,000 dollars by the end of the year, and it may even hit a new high." This is his first public softening of the $250,000 year-end Bitcoin price target he called for at the beginning of 2024 and early October. Nevertheless, Lee stated that the strongest period for Bitcoin may not come until the end of 2025.

PANews November 27 news, according to the Federal Register and multiple analysts, Nasdaq ISE has proposed to raise the options holdings limit for BlackRock's Bitcoin Spot ETF IBIT from 250,000 contracts to 1,000,000 contracts, after the limit was raised from 25,000 contracts in July 2025. Analysts believe this proposal sends three significant signals: Surge in demand: ISE states that the demand for IBIT Options will continue to grow in 2025, and the current cap has limited large institutional operations; Bitcoin has entered the "elite level" of assets: the 1 million holdings cap only applies to global systematic ETFs such as EEM and FXI, which means Bitcoin is being seen as a macro core asset; Release billions of dollars in hedging space: The existing limit of 25,000 contracts only supports approximately $125 million in position hedging, which is far from sufficient to meet the needs of institutions such as sovereign funds or pension funds. If the proposal is approved, it will provide them

Odaily News Jefferies' analysis report shows that the stablecoin issuer Tether currently holds 116 tons of physical gold, making it the "largest gold holder outside of Central Banks," with reserves comparable to those of Central Banks in countries like South Korea, Hungary, and Greece. In the last quarter, Tether's gold purchases accounted for nearly 2% of global gold demand and nearly 12% of Central Bank purchases, and its aggressive acquisition behavior may have affected short-term market supply and investor sentiment. Investors cited by Jefferies believe that Tether plans to acquire another 100 tons of gold by 2025. With an expected profit of $15 billion this year, this goal seems within reach. Additionally, Tether has invested over $300 million in precious metal producers and has issued gold-backed Token Tether Gold.

Delphi Digital analysts have analyzed the trends of BTC and believe it may form a bullish or bearish structure. A bullish scenario requires a breakout above $103,500, while a bearish scenario could form lower highs below that point. The dominance of USDT has broken through a long-term downtrend, with a contraction in supply reflecting market uncertainty.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, a Reuters survey of stock market strategists shows that the S&P 500 index is expected to close at 7,490 points by the end of 2026, rising about 11.7% from current levels. In the survey, over 45 strategists believe that the index will rise for the fourth consecutive year. However, 8 respondents believe that there is a high likelihood of a pullback in the next three months. Analysts point out that the risks to optimistic forecasts stem from the uncertainties surrounding rising inflation and prospects of interest rate cuts. The survey also predicts that the Dow will close next year at 50,566 points, up more than 7% from current levels.

ChainCatcher news, according to Jin10 reports, today the RMB Exchange Rate refreshed its high for over a year, with both onshore and offshore RMB against the US dollar recovering above the 7.09 mark. Industry insiders believe that the subsequent upward space for the dollar index is limited, and the RMB trend will be stable with a slight strength. The seasonal Exchange Settlement demand in the fourth quarter will provide important support for the RMB. Wang Qing, Chief Macro Analyst at Dongfang Jincheng, stated that with the Fed possibly continuing to cut interest rates, the upward space for the dollar index is limited, and it is expected that in the short term, the RMB will remain in a slightly strong operating state.

BitMine disclosed that it holds approximately 3.63 million ETH, becoming one of the largest Ethereum treasuries in history. However, the average bid price it announced was $2,840 per coin, which immediately raised doubts among analysts who believe there is a logical flaw in this figure. This disclosure is significant because BitMine is moving towards its long-standing goal of acquiring 5% of all Ethereum, a target that Fundstrat refers to as "5% alchemy."

PANews, November 25 news, Matrixport released an analysis today indicating that Bitcoin's recent rapid rebound, after experiencing a significant pullback earlier, is mainly driven by sentiment repair. The report mentioned last Friday that after the sentiment indicator fell to extreme levels, the probability of a short-term Rebound has increased, and this phase of Rebound has now been realized. However, analysts believe that this is not a signal for the start of a new bull market. The current market structure is complex, and risk appetite is relatively weak, making the Rebound more suitable as a tactical trading opportunity for the short term rather than the starting point of a trending market.

After the United States and Ukraine reached a preliminary Consensus on the "19-point peace plan," the Russian military immediately launched an attack on Kyiv, aiming to compress the negotiation space. This strike mainly targeted the city's energy and civilian infrastructure, making the prospects for peace once again bleak. Analysts believe that the escalation of the Russia-Ukraine situation may lead to global risk aversion, affecting the crypto market.

BlockBeats news, on November 25th, at 9:30 PM Beijing time on Tuesday, the U.S. Census Bureau will release the U.S. retail sales data, known as the "terrifying data," which has been delayed by more than a month due to the government shutdown. It is expected to show that consumer spending slightly slowed down in September. This may indicate that American households have reached their spending limit after months of inflation shocks. Additionally, there remains a risk of cooling consumer spending as many employers have reduced hiring. According to the median forecast from a Bloomberg survey, economists expect retail sales in September to rise by 0.4%, compared to a 0.6% increase in the previous month. Bloomberg economists stated that the labor market situation has slightly improved after hitting a low point in the summer. However, the partial federal government shutdown in October has brought new shocks to hiring and consumer spending. "Overall, we believe the Fed can...

According to Jincai Financial, UBS's trading department believes that the decline in the U.S. stock market may have come to an end, laying the foundation for a year-end rebound. Last week, the stock market experienced a big dump as investors wavered in their expectations for the Fed to further ease policies and withdrew from crowded AI trades. The S&P 500 index and the Nasdaq 100 index fell about 4% and 7%, respectively, from the record highs set in late October, with both dropping to the 100-day moving average. However, as the benchmark index found support at this key technical level, systematic fund dumping has basically calmed down, and market expectations for a rate cut by the Fed next month seem to be back on track. UBS believes there is still room for the stock market to rise. Michael Romano, head of equity derivation at UBS Securities' hedge fund sales, wrote in a report released on Sunday, "We believe the current risk-averse phase has come to an end."

Odaily News Citibank analyst Alex Saunders pointed out that $80,000 is a key level for Bitcoin ETF holders, and stated that regulatory breakthroughs next year may restore demand. Therefore, the bank maintains its target price for Bitcoin over the next 12 months at $181,000. Alex Saunders mentioned that interest has not disappeared, but long-term holders are taking a cautious approach, while newcomers believe there is not much reason to get involved when Bitcoin is trading below key technical levels. (CoinDesk)

BlockBeats news, on November 24, The Federal Reserve Board of Governors member Waller stated that since the last Fed meeting, existing data indicates little change, and inflation is not a major concern. January of next year will be challenging, as a lot of data will be released to determine whether another rate cut is necessary, and we need to assess this on a meeting-by-meeting basis. Inflation has risen, but I believe it will start to decline. Personally, I advocate for a rate cut at the December meeting.

Odaily News The Federal Reserve Board of Governors Waller stated that the employment data for September may be revised downwards, and the appearance of the data is not a good sign. Inflation has risen, but I believe it will begin to decline. (Jin10)

Odaily News The National Association for Business Economics (NABE) stated in its annual forecast survey that the U.S. economic growth rate will slightly accelerate next year, but job growth will remain weak, and the Fed will slow the pace of further interest rate cuts. This survey covers 42 professional forecasters, and the results show that the median economic forecast is a rise of 2%, up from 1.8% in the October survey. Increased personal spending and business investment are expected to drive economic growth higher, but professional forecasters almost unanimously believe that the new import tariffs from the Trump administration will drag the growth rate down by at least 0.25 percentage points. The survey report states, "Respondents believe that 'tariff impacts' are the biggest downside risk to the U.S. economic outlook." Stricter immigration enforcement is also seen as a factor suppressing economic growth, while improvements in productivity are considered the most likely factor driving economic growth above expectations. Additionally, inflation is expected to be 2.9% by the end of this year.

According to a report by Jinse Finance, Paolo Zanghieri, a senior economist at Generali Investments, stated that he and his team believe the market is reflecting a rate cut that exceeds what the Fed may actually implement. "We believe the probability of a rate cut next month is 50%. Given the limited new data, it is reasonable for the Fed to wait until January of next year to cut rates while signaling a tendency towards easing. More importantly, based on hopes for a rapid decline in inflation, the market expects nearly four rate cuts next year, which seems overly optimistic. We expect only a 50 basis point cut by summer."

According to Bloomberg, Bitcoin started the week lower after experiencing a prolonged dumping, making it likely to record its worst monthly performance since 2022. After a rebound over the weekend, Bitcoin fell 2.3% in early trading on Monday, briefly dipping below $86,000, before narrowing its losses. As of 10:24 AM Singapore time, Bitcoin was trading at $87,986. Despite the Bitcoin price being well above last Friday's low of $80,553, traders do not believe it is worth celebrating. Although institutional investors' acceptance of cryptocurrencies has surged, and U.S. President Trump has strongly supported the cryptocurrency industry and pushed for a series of policy initiatives, the entire cryptocurrency market remains in a noticeable slump.

BlockBeats news, on November 22, Jan Van Eck, CEO of investment management company VanEck, stated in an interview with CNBC, "If we believe that the fundamental logic of Bitcoin has broken down, we will exit Bitcoin investment. The Bitcoin community is focusing on two core issues: encryption security and privacy, especially in the face of potential threats from Quantum Computing. Meanwhile, some veteran Bitcoin players are paying attention to Tokens such as Zcash (ZEC) that offer higher privacy protection. Four years ago, Bitcoin was often accused of being used for illegal activities, but now transactions can be tracked on-chain, and the market's demand for privacy is rising."

Odaily News Recently, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan stated in an interview with CNBC, "I believe this (recent big dump in the crypto market) is an excellent buying opportunity for long-term investors looking towards 2026 and beyond."

Golden Finance reports that the relaxation of regulations by American banks is expected to release about $2.6 trillion in loan capacity, enhancing their valuation relative to European banks. Analysts believe this will promote lending, mergers and acquisitions, and technology investment, thereby boosting profits and market share, supporting the rise of U.S. bank stock prices.

Analysts from UBS Global Wealth Management believe that the upcoming weak economic data from the United States will lead to a weakening of the dollar, potentially raising market expectations for an interest rate cut in December, thereby suppressing the dollar before the end of the year.

Goldman Sachs partner John Flaherty pointed out that after Nvidia's strong earnings report, the US stock market experienced significant fluctuations, with the S&P 500 index recording its largest intraday volatility, and market sentiment shifted towards risk aversion. Investors are focusing on hedging risks, with increased shorting activities; analysts believe the market may rebound in the short term.

JPMorgan pointed out that if MSCI removes the Bitcoin giant MicroStrategy, it could lead to a capital outflow of up to $2.8 billion, with total outflows from other indices such as Nasdaq and Russell potentially reaching $11.6 billion. Analysts believe that the decline in MSTR's stock price is mainly due to market concerns about its removal, rather than a drop in Bitcoin prices. MSCI is evaluating the exclusion of companies primarily holding Bitcoin as an asset, with a decision to be announced by January 15 next year.

Odaily News Vice President Vance stated that the government shutdown will definitely cause some losses, but I believe the losses will be small. The prosperity of the U.S. economy will take some time to manifest, and job opportunities will flow to citizens born in the United States. (Jin10)

According to Jinse Finance, a recent poll reported by CCTV News shows that the American public is increasingly dissatisfied with Trump's economic policies, and overall economic sentiment has significantly worsened. In the survey, 76% of respondents believe that the economic situation in the United States is "poor," up from 67% in July. The majority of respondents indicated that living costs, including medical and housing expenses, continue to rise. Only 15% of respondents believe that Trump's economic policies have had a positive effect, while 46% believe these policies have worsened the economic situation.

BlockBeats news, on November 20, Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio stated, "I hold a small amount of Bitcoin, almost always have, about 1% of my portfolio. My view on Bitcoin has always been the same. I believe the problem with Bitcoin is that it will not become a reserve currency for major countries because it is traceable, and theoretically, it could be controlled by Quantum Computing, attacked by hackers, and risks like that."

Odaily News Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan stated that the market performance of Bitcoin treasury company Strategy has been relatively poor recently, and the recent market decline has led to increasing concerns that index provider MSCI may remove the company from key stock indices on January 15, 2026. Analysts believe that if MSCI removes Strategy, it could further impact the crypto market and exacerbate fluctuations, while losing the status as a major index component will also damage Strategy's reputation and raise doubts in the market about its financing capabilities in the stock and bond markets. (CoinDesk)

Odaily News Bridgewater founder Dalio said: I believe the United States is facing a debt problem. (Jin10)

Adam, a macro researcher at Greeks.live, pointed out that there is a clear divergence in the market direction. Long positions believe that $88,500 is the bottom and expect a Rebound, while short positions are bearish on the market and emphasize the moving average resistance. The key is whether the low point is the true bottom and the effectiveness of the support level. The market is expected to experience significant Fluctuation tonight.

Jin10 reports that a Reuters survey shows: 53% of economists believe that the Bank of Japan is expected to raise interest rates to 0.75% in December. Economists unanimously agree that the Bank of Japan is likely to raise interest rates to at least 0.75% by the end of the first quarter of next year. The expected wage increase in next year's labor negotiations is 4.90%, lower than this year's 5.25%.

PANews, November 20 news, NVIDIA (NVDA.O) has just announced its Q3 fiscal performance, with chip sales at the core of the AI boom growing faster than Wall Street expectations. The company also provided a strong revenue forecast for the quarter, leading investors to believe that the AI investment frenzy will continue. Its Q3 financial report shows that the company's revenue in the third quarter was $57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62%. Among them, data center revenue was $51.2 billion, exceeding the expected $49 billion. Additionally, its revenue outlook for the fourth quarter is about $65 billion, far higher than the analysts' average estimate of $61.6 billion. After the financial report was released, NVIDIA (NVDA.O) saw its stock price rise over 4% in after-hours trading. NVIDIA CEO Jen-Hsun Huang stated, "Blackwell's sales are off the charts, and cloud GPUs are completely sold out." Previously, Huang had downplayed concerns about an AI bubble.

Golden Finance reports that the Fed's meeting minutes show that "several" officials indicated that a rate cut in December is "very likely" appropriate, while "many" officials believe that a rate cut in December may not be appropriate. "Many" officials support a rate cut in October, "some officials" do not support it, and "some" of those supporting a rate cut in October may also support holding steady.

BlockBeats news, on November 20, according to CNBC reports, Bitwise CEO Hunter Horsley stated, "The encryption world is going to see an ETF feast. I believe there will be more than 100 products launched. We will see a large number of single-asset encryption trading platform products (ETPs). However, what excites me the most is the rise of index-based encryption ETPs." Despite the challenging market, he still believes that index ETPs will be one of the most important stories in the encryption field next year and will ultimately become one of the largest categories of interest for investors. Hougan added, "This industry will be ten times larger in the future than it is now." Bitwise launched on October 28.

Golden Finance reports that Tim Scott, Chairman of the U.S. Senate Banking Committee, stated on Tuesday that he plans to have the committee vote on the Crypto Assets market structure bill next month. Scott said: "By the end of this year, which is next month, we believe we can complete the bill revisions in two committees and initiate voting, and submit it to the full Senate for a vote early next year, so that President Trump can sign this bill." The structure bill for the Crypto Assets market needs to obtain dual approval from the Senate Banking Committee and the Agriculture Committee, as the content of the bill involves both securities regulation and commodity regulation. Scott stated that the bill will help strengthen the United States' dominant position as "the strongest economy in the world for the next century" while protecting consumer rights. The Republican senator had previously attempted to push the bill through before September this year, but was unsuccessful.

Latest data shows that the cash balance of the U.S. Treasury has significantly declined for the first time, dropping from $959 billion to $925 billion. JPMorgan traders pointed out that this is related to pressures in the repurchase market and believe that market Liquidity is expected to improve.

ChainCatcher news, ActivTrades analyst Carolane De Palmas stated that Bitcoin's recent price movement is increasingly dependent on the Fed's interest rate cut outlook, and the market remains fragile. Due to the U.S. government shutdown and the potential inability to release various data, the Fed may have to formulate policies with limited data. This information gap weakens market liquidity expectations and exerts pressure on speculative assets, leading to a further fall in Bitcoin's price.

According to ChainCatcher news and Jin10 reports, a survey of global fund managers by American Bank shows that 54% of respondents believe that the "Big Seven" in the US stock market is the most crowded trade currently, while 45% of respondents think that the AI bubble is the biggest tail risk.

Tether is rapidly increasing its gold reserves, currently reaching 12.9 billion USD, with a growth rate exceeding that of most Central Banks, while acquiring mining rights to gold mines to build a complete industrial chain. Analysts believe that Tether's strategy aims to hedge against the fluctuation of the dollar through gold, thereby enhancing the credibility of USDT.

According to Jinse Finance, Raphael Bostic, president of the Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank, hinted that while he supports the recent two rate cuts, he has not yet decided whether to approve another rate cut next month. Bostic stated at an event in Seattle on Friday: "I can accept the first two rate cuts, as for the next one, we will have to wait and see. I want to judge what kind of policy is most appropriate based on the data." Federal Reserve officials currently have serious disagreements on whether to continue cutting rates next month. So far this year, the Fed has cut rates by a total of 50 basis points. According to futures market pricing, investors currently believe that the probability of a 25 basis point cut at the December 9-10 meeting is slightly below 50%. Bostic pointed out that the current situation is challenging, as "we are not making progress towards our goals in either aspect of our dual mandate (i.e., employment and inflation)." Earlier this week, he stated that inflation remains a "more clear and pressing risk" in the economy.

Golden Financial reports that Mizuho Securities maintains a "underperform" rating on Circle stock, with analysts lowering the fundamental target price from $84 to $70. Circle's stock (ticker symbol CRCL) traded around $82 on Friday, down nearly 40% over the past month. Mizuho Securities analysts stated in a research report: "We believe the company's valuation fails to adequately reflect the major risks facing its mid-term earnings." The analysts also pointed out that potential risks include "upcoming interest rate cuts and relatively stagnant economic growth." High (and rising) circulation costs, as well as increasingly fierce competition among stablecoins.

Golden Finance reports that due to the sluggish market, on November 14, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index fell to 16, entering the extreme fear zone. André Dragosch, Head of European Research at Bitwise, posted on X stating that when the Crypto Fear and Greed Index is below 20, Bitcoin's subsequent average performance is: 1 day +0.9%; 2 days +1.8%; 5 days +4.1%; 1 week +5.2%; 2 weeks +9.3%; 1 month +19.9%; 2 months +44.2%; 3 months +62.4%; 6 months +48.5%. He noted that many analysts believe the Crypto Assets Fear and Greed Index is just noise, but in fact, this index has historically continued to signal excess returns.

Bitcoin broke below $100,000 amidst deteriorating macro sentiment, falling to a low of $98,000 and re-entering a Bear Market. The adjustment was triggered by weakened expectations of Fed interest rate cuts and a dumping of tech stocks. Analysts believe that if it falls below $80,000-$85,000, the risk of further decline increases, and it is advised to flexibly allocate across multiple markets using USDT.

BlockBeats news, on November 14, Liquid Capital (formerly LD Capital) founder Yi Lihua stated: "Due to the decrease in the expectation of interest rate cuts in December, the US stock market and cryptocurrency experienced a big dump, but I still firmly believe that the best buy the dip opportunity is between $3000 and $3300. We are consistent in our actions and words. Previously, Ethereum fell to $2700 due to a black swan event, but we still insisted on maintaining our borrowing leverage. However, the psychological pressure was immense, causing insomnia every day, which led us to unload leverage early when Ethereum was above $3000. This time, we are buying the dip in the spot market without leverage, adhering to the strategy of increasing the position when there is a pullback, and patiently waiting."

After Bitcoin fell to $98,000, MSTR's stock price dropped another 6.6%, with a year-to-date decline of 30%, returning to the level before Trump was elected last year. Despite the company holding $63.2 billion worth of Bitcoin, its enterprise value is trading at a nearly 20% premium, analysts believe the common stock price is higher than the actual value of the Bitcoin holdings.

Golden Finance reports that Fed's Mousalem reiterated on Thursday that he believes the current monetary policy is closer to neutral rather than slightly tightening. This means that there is limited room for further easing of the monetary policy without becoming overly loose. Mousalem stated, "Looking ahead, we need to proceed with caution." He pointed out that the inflation rate is too high, reaching 3%. He added, "I believe we need to continue to apply pressure on inflation that is above the target while providing some support for the labor market."

Odaily星球日报讯 Greeks.live 宏观研究员 Adam 发布中文社区简报，其中指出：群组对市场方向存在明显分歧，部分交易者担忧币圈进入熊市，有社区成员认为 9.6-9.8 万美元或是今年比特币的底部，山寨币底部抬高释放积极信号。关键分歧在于当前位置是顶部还是底部，有交易者指出“下去就是熊”，但各种信号显示“很难相信目前就是市场顶部”。