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CB Weekly Market Recap (Apr 5–11, 2026) ⚡️
🔴 Relief rally hit hard: S&P 500 +3.6%, Nasdaq +4.7%, Dow +3% — best week since November.
🔴 Trigger: Ceasefire pause in the US–Iran conflict after Donald Trump announced a 2-week halt in strikes.
🔴 Oil plunged: WTI -16% (to ~$94), biggest drop since April 2020. Still ~30% above pre-war levels.
➡️ Key risk: Strait of Hormuz remains blocked — supply crunch not over.
🔴 Inflation spike: CPI jumped to 3.3% YoY, driven by a 21% surge in gas.
➡️ Core CPI stayed soft (2.6%) — inflation not fully spreading (yet).
🔴 Crypto followed risk-on: Bitcoin ~+9% to ~$73K after ranging earlier in the week.
🔴 Big move: Morgan Stanley launched a spot BTC ETF — strong debut with $34M inflows.
🔴 What matters next:
Ceasefire talks → reopen oil flows or reignite conflict
Oil path: $80–85 (bullish) vs $110+ (bearish)
SEC’s CLARITY Act talks (Apr 16)
Bank earnings: JPMorgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup
⚠️ Bottom line: Markets are pricing peace — any breakdown could reverse everything fast.