StateOfMind
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The CoinMarketCap Altcoin Season Index is only 19, which means that in the past 90 days, only 19% of the top 100 cryptocurrencies outperformed BTC. On September 20th this year, the index even reached 78, and the average last week was just 25.
BTC dominance is still consolidating at a high level, and there are currently no systemic opportunities for altcoins. At this stage, only specific narratives (AI, Meme, RWA) have the potential for excess returns. #十二月行情展望
BTC0.52%
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Seven departments including the National Internet Finance Association of China have issued a risk warning on preventing illegal activities involving virtual currencies.
In fact, currently the cryptocurrency market is not only restricted in China, but the US is also preventing its citizens from participating. Many project websites block IPs from certain regions in the US. Of course, the reasons for the restrictions differ between the two countries. China’s ban is because the decentralized nature of virtual currencies conflicts with our core values. The US likely hasn’t figured out how to tax it
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Let's take a look at Grayscale's recent moves.
In this bull market, almost all the altcoins held by Grayscale have pumped, and the gains have been significant. From the mainstream coins and AI coins that pumped early in the first half of 2024 like BTC, ETH, SOL, BCH, and LPT, to the ones that pumped in the second half of 2024 like XRP, XLM, LTC, then last month's privacy coins hype with ZEN and ZEC, and finally, BAT which has been surging these past few days. You could call Grayscale "basic," but the coins it holds have outperformed 99% of institutions and retail investors this bull run.
Curre
BTC0.52%
ETH-0.02%
SOL-0.55%
BCH0.62%
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Shelby24vip:
Ape In 🚀
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A couple of days ago, the Central Bank issued a document to crack down on Virtual Money. A bunch of people in the square and on X are saying that this crackdown is a good thing. The domestic regulatory authorities have cracked down so many times, yet the price of $BTC keeps rising. Domestic regulators really don't need to care; I think these people have really lost their minds.
The cryptocurrency industry relies on new investors constantly joining to expand the market. One major reason why there hasn’t been a season for altcoins in this bull market is that domestic regulations and traditi
BTC0.52%
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The trend of Bitcoin in 2025 is very similar to that in 2022, with a correlation of 98%.
#比特币行情观察
According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin (BTC) in 2025 is highly similar to the bear market bottom trend of 2022, with a correlation close to 100%. Network economist Timothy Peterson pointed out that this year’s BTC performance is remarkably similar to that of 2022, with a daily correlation of 80% and a monthly correlation reaching 98%.
November is one of the worst months for BTC price performance, Peterson stated, with this month's performance being in the bottom 10% since 2015. Historical data s
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$GlobalVillage$vip:
Looking at historical data, we should have always been making money, but in reality, we've always been getting rekt. 😂
Community Growth Value Lottery Carnival
Invite friends to participate in the growth value lottery together and win generous gifts!
https://www.gate.com/cn/announcements/article/48423
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Can #BTC rise to 200,000 next year?
The rainbow chart predicts a bull peak of 200,000 in 25 years, but the result only reached 126,000. However, some insist that its bottom is valid, making 65,000 the iron bottom, and it was pushed again to 200,000 and 250,000 in 26 years. In simple terms, it's just technical charting: because it has risen before, it must rise in the future.
The real driving force behind BTC has always been simple: how much money is being printed globally and how many people are actually using it on-chain. The last two major bull runs occurred after epic money printing gl
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DOGE Spot ETF GDOG officially listed on the New York Stock Exchange today.
This means that Wall Street's door is open for $DOGE .
What was once a joke is now an institutionally certified asset.
Although DOGE is not performing well at the moment, the future is certainly promising.
#现货ETF获批新进展
DOGE-1.16%
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Let's take a look at the situation in the neighboring A-shares. In fact, just like the Crypto Assets market, the crypto world sees BTC rise, while A-shares see the index rise. Despite this year's index performing so well, about 80 to 90 percent of people are still at a loss.
Most people in the A-share market have never seen a bull market because there hasn't been one for 10 years. What most people don't know is that most of their money was lost during the bull market; this is the same for both the A-share market and the crypto world. #比特币行情观察
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I saw someone blaming the reason for this round of $BTC fall on the Prince Group being confiscated of 120,000 BTC by the US government, claiming that the myth of BTC Decentralization has been shattered, so the big dump is going to drop to zero.
It really made me laugh, speaking as if they understand Bitcoin so well. If Bitcoin were to crash just because it 'can't be used for gray and black markets', then it would have been over when Silk Road was shut down a few years ago. The US, Germany, and the UK all confiscated a bunch of Bitcoin back then, and what happened? The price kept g
BTC0.52%
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US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data exploded? The Fed is about to be "sandwiched"!
Family, the US September Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data has been released, with an increase of 119,000 jobs, which is much higher than the expected 50,000. The August data was also revised upwards from 22,000.
But the unemployment rate rose from 4.3% to 4.4%, reaching a new high since 2021. With this data released, the Fed is going to have a hard time.
The Fed was originally in a heated debate internally about whether to cut interest rates in December.
One side believes that interest rate cuts would "patch up" the lab
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The US government will release macro data, and NVIDIA's third-quarter earnings report is highly anticipated.
According to BlockBeats, on November 19, the U.S. government will release the first batch of macro data after the "government reopening" on the 20th. Global tech giant Nvidia will announce its third-quarter earnings report, and the market believes its performance will reflect the bull and bear trends of the capital market.
01:45, 2027 FOMC voting member and Richmond Fed President Barkin speaks on the economic outlook; 03:00, the Federal Reserve releases the monetary policy meeting m
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Most people might see this news with a clueless and passive attitude. What I want to say is that this is a historic signal. The reason why the Czech Central Bank has become the "first central bank to eat the crab" is not because they love to take risks, but because they may have realized earlier than other central banks that the future of central bank reserves and financial systems will not remain in today's form, but will undergo transformation, entering the "digital asset era."
The ultimate goal of Bitcoin is to become a reserve asset for the central banks of over 200 countries, and the
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Why has the U.S. stock market been able to remain bullish? One key reason is that the giants have driven the market through buybacks. For instance, Apple, the largest buyer of its own stock, is not Buffett or any fund, but Apple itself. Many excellent companies do this, using real money to stabilize their own stock prices, or even driving them higher.
Looking at it from the perspective of DeFi, many protocols are already very profitable now, and their scale is growing larger and larger. If these protocols are willing to buy back their own tokens with profits in the future, or even become the l
HYPE-5.84%
PUMP-2.64%
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Looking at the dumping of $ETH in April this year, it fell to a low of 1385, at that time saying it was a Bear Market was not wrong. However, it later rose from 1385 to 4956, breaking the historical high. If we follow the logic of previous bull runs, when ETH fell to 1385, we could say this round of bull run ended, but in reality, it did not. However, the market trend during the two months after it fell to 1385 was definitely a Bear Market. So the current situation in the crypto world can also be viewed this way: after Wall Street funds got on board, the crypto world can no longer be viewed w
ETH-0.02%
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LightingBigWhitevip:
Steadfast HODL💎
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Top venture capital firms in Silicon Valley are retreating from Ethereum treasury stocks, and institutions are beginning to reassess the risks of altcoins.
Peter Thiel's Founders Fund has been quite active recently, quietly reducing its stake in ETHZilla, an Ethereum treasury company. The shareholding ratio has dropped from 7.5% in August to 5.6% now. It may not seem like a significant move, but the timing is quite delicate.
It is important to know that ETHZilla holds over 100,000 Ether, definitely at a whale level. However, even so, top institutions have chosen to retreat. This actually r
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$GlobalVillage$vip:
Looks really cool
Answer a few questions that retail investors in the crypto world are currently most concerned about.
1. How to understand bull markets and bear markets? Why do many people still lose money even in a bull market?
The bull and bear markets are actually the natural rhythms of the market, much like waves. A strong upward wave is a bull market, while a pullback and consolidation is a bear market. Generally, the first and third waves of an upward trend are very brief, while the longest phase is the second wave pullback, which is characterized by a prolonged decline and sideways movement. Many people
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ETH-0.02%
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Let's take a look at the performance of the US stock market one month and one year after the end of the four historical long shutdowns.
The shutdown ended in November 1995, and within a month the S&P rose by 1.52%, with an overall increase of about 20% in the following year.
The halt ended in January 1996, with the S&P rising 4.51% within a month, and an overall increase of about 15% in the following year.
The shutdown ended in October 2013, and within a month, the S&P rose by 3.87%, followed by a 19.72% increase over the next year.
The halt ended in 2018-2019, and within a month, the S&P
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DaquanDaigouvip:
What software is this?
How should the take profit target be set for this altcoin rebound???
Let me teach you a little method. Open the altcoin daily chart and zoom out to see the rebound position after the 1011 black swan. Basically, it's a good take profit position because many retail investors bought in at that level. The main force won't easily let everyone break even. Of course, this method is suitable for most altcoins, though there will be a few that will break through. But overall, the rebound target is generally like this.
Of course, if you want to bet that there will be an altcoin season next, this
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