Bitcoin typically experiences short-term price declines following geopolitical conflicts, followed by a rebound within 50-60 days, with a historical average gain of 31.2%, as increased government spending and monetary expansion ultimately benefit Bitcoin. Recent events, such as the 2026 US-Iran conflict that triggered $358 million in liquidations, suggest that market dynamics are changing. Institutional ETF inflows have provided some volatility buffer, while Bitcoin's correlation with risk assets like the Nasdaq is also strengthening.

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