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Why does the crypto market always have "new opportunities"? The harsh truth about pumping the donkey.
When writing about the crypto market, I suddenly thought of that Japanese scholar Fukuyama - yes, the one who proposed the “end of history” theory.
Every time the market shifts between bull and bear, there are always people who say dejectedly: this industry is finished, too many coins have been issued, and there will never be new opportunities again.
Sounds familiar?
After Bitcoin, there is no more encryption currency. After Ethereum, there is no more public chain. After XX meme, there are no more meme coins…
Is it realistic? Completely wrong.
Bitcoin has never been the end point; it is a starting point. How to understand the seemingly contradictory propositions of “BTC is unique” and “there are always opportunities in the market”? This is the true test of the mind.
Why are there still people making money when there are endless coins to distribute?
The wave of token issuance in 2017, with few tokens and abundant hot money, created a bubble due to the imbalance of supply and demand. It makes sense.
But what about now? ERC-20, inscriptions, various launch platforms - the threshold for issuing coins has dropped to the ground, with tens of thousands of new coins emerging every day. Logically, the market should have been saturated by now, right?
Just when everyone thinks “there's nothing new,” there will be more savvy players emerging, coming up with new concepts and new stories of getting rich.
Why?
Because what is scarce is not the coin. What is scarce is the opportunity to make money, the opportunity to get rich quickly.
No matter how many or how fast the coins are, they cannot satisfy the retail investors' desire for a “get rich overnight”. The hot money has never chased a specific token; it chases the elusive “scarcity”—the scarcity of making money.
As long as this chase continues, the market will keep generating new opportunities.
The Game of the Donkey Turning the Mill
The scarcity of sudden wealth is almost eternal. What does this mean? It means that the chase for hot money is also endless.
It's like a blindfolded donkey turning a mill—hanging in front of its forehead is a pile of fodder it can never reach, so it keeps turning in circles, running wildly. You can never say: “This is the last stone mill, the history of the stone mill stops here.”
Those who understand this game will always find opportunities to design new “grinders” and continue to pull the donkey over to turn.
As long as there are endless generations of donkeys, the opportunities to set up schemes will always exist and keep emerging.
The millstone is born because of the donkey, not the donkey because of the millstone.
Just like leeks give rise to the dealers, rather than the dealers creating the leeks.
Why are new games emerging endlessly? Because the blindfolded donkey is constantly running hard. Each round is packaged as “a whole new opportunity to make money” “the next hundredfold coin”, and then heavily promoted.
The Harsh Truth
The reality is just very harsh —
The pursuit of making money and getting rich quickly by hot money often ends in losses and total depletion.
The life of a donkey is有限, but the局 is无穷无尽. Pursuing the unlimited with the有限 is dangerous.
The ones who truly make big money are always the masters of grinding, the dealers of the game, and the platforms that create dreams.
This is not pessimism; it is the underlying logic of the market. Once you see it clearly, you at least know what game you are playing and where you stand.
Stop asking “Is there still a chance after this wave?” As long as human nature remains unchanged and greed is not extinguished, the “end of history thesis” will always be a joke.