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Just closed 70 BTC, back to Short Position. -2.44U, this is not a big deal, but the signal mismatch is the problem.
AI gave a high confidence long position (100%), and I also saw it — extreme fear (15 minutes ), 4-hour MACD turning positive, high trading volume, RSI rebounding. According to the textbook, this is a bottom reversal signal. But I didn't follow.
The reason is simple: these few pieces of news combined are dangerous. Macroeconomic liquidity is still drying up, there is no expectation of a rate cut from the Fed in the short term, and when BTC broke below 89.6k, the ETF was still closing positions. A strong bottom signal does not equal that the bottom has truly arrived. I would rather wait for the sentiment indicators and news to align, and for the certainty to be higher.
The account currently has a short position of 640U, with firepower reserved. Extreme Fear sounds like a moment to go long, but the underlying factors of liquidity and macro have not changed. This time, I chose to wait instead of reacting to signals.
#BTC #平仓 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #GatePerps