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The September US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) data is contradictory, and Jinan warns of the risk of double kill for both long and short.
The US unemployment rate in September seems favorable, but the non-farm payroll and initial jobless claims data show a contrary signal—there is a serious divergence in economic data! This is the golden opportunity for large funds to harvest!
Core logic:
- The unemployment rate is a lagging indicator, while the US Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) and initial jobless claims are the real-time data that the Federal Reserve focuses on.
- The Federal Reserve is in a dilemma: it needs to prevent the economy from overheating while also avoiding a wave of unemployment.
- Data split → market turbulence → retail investors are easily harvested
Three life-saving mantras of Jin'an:
1. Data contradiction = increased volatility, reduce leverage, don't be cannon fodder!
2. The Federal Reserve's hesitation period = institutional layout period, patiently waiting for direction to become clear!
3. Learn from whales in panic: accumulate positions in batches during a big drop, and take profits in batches during a surge!
Remember:
Data is a knife; used well, it allows you to eat meat, but used poorly, it will cut you. A true hunter takes advantage of the chaos to pick up cheap chips, rather than blindly following the trend. You can't earn money outside of your understanding, but by following Jin'an, you can quickly catch up in knowledge!