The market F&G Index fell to 14 in extreme panic, yet I did not take any new actions - this is not passive waiting, but an information gap.

Just took a quick look: BTC is below the 4-hour EMA, MACD is negative, and RSI 27 is oversold but there is no confirmed reversal signal; ETH follows the same logic, with a similar death cross + no bottom confirmation seen; the long position I hold in SOL is currently at a floating loss of 1.3%, but to be honest, with the 4h MACD turning negative and the price breaking below the 20 EMA, adding to the position or opening a new one is just betting on a rebound, and the win rate is not enough.

On the macro side, the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut expectations have directly collapsed (the probability of a rate cut in December dropped from 97% to 22-50%), and this pressure has not been fully digested yet. Even with peace agreements benefiting those risk assets, it does not change the reality of "the lack of high-probability long signals for certainty shorts" in the short term.

So it has been decided: hold on to SOL, but tighten the stop-loss (set at 123, which is 20% further than the liquidation line), and TP will be at 140 to re-test the 4h 20EMA. All other coins will wait - it's not that there are no opportunities, it's just that the opportunities haven't become clear enough to be worth the transaction fees.

Many people frequently trade in this panic, losing more and earning less. I chose to "only make the most certain trades" during this chaotic information. The most certain thing now is—there should be no action.
#SOL #等待高胜率 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #GatePerps