MSTR halves over 6 months, down 57%, could being kicked out of the Nasdaq trigger an $8 billion sell-off?

Question

【Crypto World】MSTR has really been on a roller coaster ride over the past six months—its stock price has been cut in half by 57%, and in the past month alone, it has plummeted another 40%. Now the trouble is coming: the Nasdaq 100 and MSCI USA Index might kick it out.

The culprit? Bitcoin, which has fallen from its peak of $126,000 to around $85,000, dragging the company that has its assets tied to Bitcoin down with it. Even worse, once removed, passive funds tracking the indices will be forced to sell—conservatively estimated at $2.8 billion worth of pressure. If other indices follow suit, this number could skyrocket to $8 billion.

Currently, MSTR holds 649,870 Bitcoins, worth approximately $55.65 billion at current prices. Being kicked out of the index will definitely weaken its Bitcoin exposure, but the real blow depends on one thing: will they be forced to sell their holdings? That’s what the market cares about most. After all, unrealized paper losses and real cash cuts are two completely different things.

DefiSecurityGuard · Accepted Answer

⚠️ Listen to me, MSTR's move this time is a classic example of concentrated risk exposure—betting all chips on a single asset, then triggering a chain reaction through forced liquidation by passive funds... I've seen this in 2018.

The real red flag is that $8 billion sell pressure; once it starts, it's an irreversible exploit vector. Before DYOR, ask yourself: can you withstand this systemic risk?

UnruggableChad · Answer

Ha, MSTR really brought this upon themselves, going all in on Bitcoin was bound to lead to today.

Kicked out of the Nasdaq? Deserved, this is what they call being too greedy.

The key issue is those 640,000 coins, if they really have to sell, the market will explode, 8 billion dollars is no joke.

The problem isn&#39;t with the index, it&#39;s whether they&#39;re really willing to Cut Loss, it&#39;s easy to scare people but hard to take action.

These people panic the most when Bitcoin experiences a big dump, and now they regret using too much leverage back then.

I feel a bit sorry for their passive funds, caught in the crossfire.

To put it bluntly, it&#39;s a gambler&#39;s mentality, betting their entire fortune on Bitcoin, and now it&#39;s time to pay up.

If this really leads to dumping, retail investors will be drowned again, it&#39;s the same old routine.

MSTR should have diversified risks long ago, but now it&#39;s all too late.

TokenTherapist · Answer

Sigh, MSTR is really suffering this time, feels like it&#39;s self-destructing.

Going all in on Bitcoin, and now just waiting to be kicked out by the index? How much will this cost?

The key is whether they will really cut positions. If they truly dump $8 billion, the crypto world will be a bloodbath again.

Hoping that Xu Mingxing won&#39;t cut losses, but personal will is useless in front of the mechanism.

A bit regretful for not ambushing short positions in advance; it&#39;s best to profit from this systemic risk.

Speaking of which, if over 640,000 Bitcoins are really all sold, that would be a catastrophe.

It all depends on whether the coin price can hold 8.5. If it breaks, the consequences are unimaginable.

fren_with_benefits · Answer

Oh no, MSTR is going to crash, a 50% Slump isn&#39;t enough, it has to keep getting smashed.

Speaking of betting on BTC alone, this trap should have flipped long ago.

8 billion in sell pressure? The crypto world is going to blow up... But the key is whether Brother Saylor is willing to play people for suckers.

GasWaster · Answer

Oh my, it's MSTR again. This guy really is Bitcoin's sacrificial lamb.

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A 57% cut isn't enough, now there's a brutal 40% plunge? This wave is really tough.

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Kicked-out index = death spiral? 8 billion in selling pressure sounds intense.

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Holding 650,000 Bitcoins and still playing this way, truly incredible.

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The key point is—will they really cut losses? That’s the real killer move.

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Putting all eggs in one basket, and now the basket is almost breaking haha.

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Bitcoin dropping from 126,000 to 85,000 can cause a company to collapse. Risk management is top-notch.

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Waiting to see the passive fund forced liquidation spectacle; then it will be truly chaotic.

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$55.65 billion pressing on Bitcoin—turns out it’s a leverage amplifier.

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A single footstep on Nasdaq, $8 billion sell-off wave—how fast do retail investors have to run to escape?