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#加密市场回暖 Let's talk about whether BTC will fall again? My view is that if the Fed does not really start "pump-priming", it will be very difficult for a bull run to truly arrive.
Don't be fooled by the light trading in the market these days because Americans are celebrating Thanksgiving; that's not the core issue. The most critical point is that the Fed's rate cuts are too slow! Goldman Sachs even predicts that there might only be two rate cuts by 2026. This gradual pace of squeezing toothpaste does not fundamentally address the market's thirst for capital.
So the market is actually quite fragile right now, relying entirely on the "interest rate cut expectations" to hold it up. Last Friday, when a Fed official spoke, the market immediately got excited again, and now the probability of an interest rate cut in December has risen to 84.9%!
But this has become the next risk point: if there is no cut in December, will the market "hope for more, be disappointed more"?
What do you think? Feel free to share your thoughts in the comments section! $BTC $ETH $BNB #Crypto market rebound