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SMA Stock Trading Must-Read: Master this indicator to clearly see the trend
When it comes to stock technical analysis, moving averages are definitely a topic you can’t avoid. Among the many moving averages, Simple Moving Average (SMA) is the preferred tool for many traders because of its straightforward calculation logic and ease of use.
What exactly does SMA measure?
The core logic of the simple moving average is quite simple: take the closing prices of the past N trading days, sum them up, and divide by N to get a data point. Each day, remove the oldest price, add the new day’s price, and recalculate.
Does this sound abstract? Let’s illustrate with an example. Suppose the closing prices of a stock over the past 15 days are:
Week 1: 30, 35, 38, 29, 31
Week 2: 28, 33, 35, 34, 32
Week 3: 33, 29, 31, 36, 34
Calculating the 10-day SMA’s first point: (30+35+38+29+31+28+33+35+34+32) ÷ 10 = 32.6
Moving to the second day, remove the first day’s 30, add the 11th day’s 33: (35+38+29+31+28+33+35+34+32+33) ÷ 10 = 32.9
And so on, continuously calculating these points and connecting them into a line, which is the SMA.
Why do traders rely on SMA?
The biggest advantage of SMA is that it filters out short-term price fluctuations, revealing the true trend direction. When the line slopes upward, it indicates the stock is in an uptrend; downward slope suggests a downtrend.
In practical trading, the application periods of SMA are also important:
However, to be honest: SMA is a lagging indicator; it describes past price movements, not future directions. When signals appear, the market has often already moved. Especially in choppy markets, prices crossing the moving average repeatedly can generate many false signals, leading traders to misjudge.
Two practical trading methods
Strategy 1: Price and Moving Average Crossovers
The most direct application is observing the relationship between the stock’s candlestick chart and the SMA. When the candlestick crosses above the SMA from below, it’s usually interpreted as a buy signal—price may continue to rise; conversely, when the candlestick crosses below the SMA from above, it’s seen as a sell signal—downtrend may begin.
Strategy 2: Double Moving Average Crossover
Use two SMAs of different periods, such as the 20-day and 50-day lines. When the short-term line crosses above the long-term line, it’s called a “Golden Cross”—a clear bullish signal; when it crosses below, it’s a “Death Cross”—indicating a potential downtrend.
How to set up SMA yourself
Most charting software has similar setup procedures. Generally: click on the technical indicators menu → find the moving average option → input your desired period (like 20, 50, 200) → confirm and apply. It’s recommended to set multiple SMAs with different colors for easy distinction, making it more intuitive to observe their interactions.
What you need to know about trading truths
Although SMA is widely used, no indicator can guarantee 100% success. In actual trading, it’s essential to combine it with other indicators like RSI, MACD, etc., to verify signals. Multiple confirmations can effectively reduce false signals and improve overall success rate.
In simple terms, SMA is a good tool for observing trends, but relying on it as the sole decision factor is overly naive. Indicators are just tools; risk management and psychological control are the real factors that determine trading success or failure.