12.24 BTC Evening Trend Forecast and Analysis

I. Core Market Signals

1. Key Support and Resistance
- Strong Support: 86600-86700 (intraday lows), an extreme defense level for bulls; 87000 as short-term intermediate support.
- Strong Resistance: 87800-87900 (intraday highs), the main suppression level for bears; 88000 as an integer resistance level.
2. Volume and Momentum
Intraday rebound shows mild increasing volume followed by decreasing volume. Bullish momentum weakens around 87400, but there is clear support from bottom-fishing funds below 86600. The bulls and bears are entering a critical phase; breaking through the range could lead to a major trend.

II. Bullish Strategy

1. Entry Conditions: BTC retraces to 86600-86800, accompanied by volume-increasing stable K-line (such as bullish engulfing, hammer).
2. Stop-Loss Placement: Below 86500 (at 86400), to avoid breakout risks. Stop-loss range is approximately 200-400 points.
3. Profit Targets:
- First target: 87600-87800;
- Second target: 88000-88200. Take partial profits upon reaching these levels.
4. Trigger Logic: If the price falls below 87000 but quickly recovers with volume increase, indicating strong bullish reversal momentum, add to positions to expand profit potential.

III. Bearish Strategy

1. Entry Conditions: BTC rebounds to 87800-88000, with volume-increasing pressure K-line (such as bearish engulfing, shooting star).
2. Stop-Loss Placement: Above 88100 (at 88200), to avoid sudden breakout risks. Stop-loss range is approximately 200-400 points.
3. Profit Targets:
- First target: 86800-87000;
- Second target: 86600-86800. Take partial profits upon reaching these levels.
4. Trigger Logic: Failure to break above 87800 with continued volume decline indicates strong bearish suppression. Add to short positions and look for lower support levels.

IV. Evening Market Conclusion

BTC is likely to fluctuate within the 87000-87800 range tonight. Breaking this range could trigger a one-sided trend: upward breakout suggests a bullish strategy; downward breakdown suggests a bearish approach. If the range persists, it may be best to stay on the sidelines and wait for a clear breakout signal.