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The world's largest asset management firm, BlackRock, recently dropped a heavy bombshell—suggesting that the Federal Reserve's room to cut interest rates by 2026 is "quite limited." Sounds like dry macro data? Not really. This is Wall Street's biggest market expert shattering the market's daydream.
Looking back over the past two years, the entire crypto space has been betting on the same story: the Fed will eventually flood the market with liquidity, and cheap dollars will continuously flow into risk assets. Your optimism about Bitcoin, your dreams for altcoins, and your faith in the entire bull market all hinge on one premise—liquidity won't dry up. Now, BlackRock, the closest to the water tap, is telling you that tighter days are not far off.
What does this mean? The external engine that the crypto market relies on is slowing down. Assets sustained by storytelling and expectations of dollar devaluation are gradually losing their confidence. BlackRock isn't making a prediction; it's engaging in "expectation management"—gently bursting the bubble and paving the way for a potential liquidity crunch.
Feeling scared? That's actually a normal reaction. Your fear precisely indicates the problem—your initial positions and beliefs overly depended on the assumption of "perpetual easing." When the floodwaters no longer surge, you'll truly see who is swimming naked.
So, what should you do? The first step is to conduct a "stress test." Assuming the Fed doesn't significantly cut rates in the next two years, what can your assets rely on? Their intrinsic value and user demand, or just stories and liquidity games?
The second step is to shift toward "endogenous growth." Instead of fixating on the Fed's moves, focus on projects that can accumulate real users and generate cash flow even in a bear market. The value of these ecosystems won't collapse because of dollar policies.
The third step is to re-examine Bitcoin. If external liquidity diminishes, the narrative of "digital gold" will face shocks, but its role as the "ultimate settlement layer" and "sovereign asset" will be tested more severely. In an environment of shrinking liquidity, whether this story still holds is the true litmus test.
The real test of the market isn't whether you can party in the floodwaters, but what you hold in your hands when the tide recedes.