What will the Federal Reserve do in 2026? The mark

Question

MeaninglessApe · Accepted Answer

Sounds like the Fed is about to play that "want and need" game again, huh?

Anyway, I've already bet my money on inflation data. No matter how strong GDP is, it can't withstand an unexpected CPI.

BlackRock says they will be restrained? These people have never told the truth.

It's too early to talk about the story in 2026. Better to wait and see what the December decision will be.

They've already cut 175 basis points and still want to cut more? That's hilarious. The market is dreaming.

GasWastingMaximalist · Answer

4.3% GDP growth rate is no joke, but this time the Fed is probably going to slack off again.

The room for rate cuts has been fully squeezed out, and the room for action in 2026 is indeed limited...

It's again the strong hawkish economy versus the restrained institutional camp, and this drama in the market will continue.

Inflation data is the real key, everything else is just floating clouds.

The more fiercely these two factions fight, the more it shows that no one has truly got a handle on it.

ApeWithNoChain · Answer

It's the same old trick again. As soon as the economic data is released, someone calls for a hawkish stance, and then institutions sing a different tune. Who the hell is really in charge?

The room for rate cuts is limited... 175bp has already been cut, what more do you want? Might as well just lie flat.

Before the inflation and employment data come out, it's all talk. Anyway, both bulls and bears have their say.

After this 175bp cut, I feel like I've been played several times. Now I trust half of the analysis and doubt the other half.

The market just loves to keep messing around like this. We traders are just waiting to be harvested.

FantasyGuardian · Answer

Here we go again, if GDP is strong, they won't cut interest rates; if there's little room to cut, they won't cut. Why doesn't the Fed just stop cutting?

175 basis points have already been cut, what are they still hesitating about? I really can't understand these institutions.

Economic data may be tough, but inflation still needs to be lowered. Don't be too optimistic.

Blackstone says to be restrained? They know exactly what the market truly needs.

Just wait and see. Anyway, there will always be surprises and shocks, you can never guess right.

LuckyBlindCat · Answer

This GDP number is being stubborn here, does the Federal Reserve still want to cut interest rates? Haha

There’s no room left for rate cuts, BlackRock’s statement is spot on

Economic resilience is actually a trap, they can’t cut anymore

175 basis points and still want to play, the Fed is really something

Both sides are betting, let’s see who concedes first

Inflation data is the real boss, everything else is useless

Strong data doesn’t necessarily mean good news, this time it might really be stuck

Just wait and see, anyway I can’t predict correctly

Layer3Dreamer · Answer

theoretically speaking, if we model the fed's 2026 trajectory as a recursive constraint optimization problem... the 175bps cumulative cut already suggests we're hitting diminishing returns on the monetary policy vector. that 4.3% gdp reading is basically a state commitment that makes further easing mathematically less elegant, ngl.

What will the Federal Reserve do in 2026? The market is currently entangled in two conflicting narratives.

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