2025-12-24 14:11:23

#比特币与黄金战争 Bought BTC at the beginning of the year, held it all the way without selling, and now it’s actually down by 8%.

I remember the market at the beginning of January—Bitcoin was hovering around $95,000, but now it’s only over $87,000. If I hadn’t taken profits at the high point, after a year of tossing around, my account would be in the red 😅.

Comparing the performance of various assets this year is really eye-opening—checked the data, and this year’s return for $BTC is -6%, those who invested in gold earned 66.83%, and even A-shares saw a 20.23% increase. Making money in the crypto world is indeed difficult; losing money has become the norm.

This is not an isolated case. Looking at historical data from 2015 to 2025, $BTC is either the best or the worst among all investment assets, with no middle ground. According to Bitcoin’s classic 4-year cycle, 2021 and 2017 were bull years, and during the subsequent bear markets, the first year saw huge losses, with recovery coming in the second and third years. This year’s market is a bit special—after peaking in early October, it started to decline, and by the end of the year, it had retraced 8 percentage points. If we follow historical patterns, 2026 might see even bigger losses, so we need to be mentally prepared.

But to say it again, historical data is just a reference; relying on it too much is like trying to carve a boat on a stone.

Let’s also look at the size gap between $BTC and gold. This year, gold has been on a strong bull run, with a market cap surpassing $31.424 trillion, and the gap with Bitcoin has widened from 12 times to 18 times. Moreover, $BTC’s global asset ranking has fallen to eighth place, with a market cap of $1.7 trillion, which is actually lower than silver’s $4 trillion.

These numbers fluctuate every year. Whether Bitcoin can truly become digital gold still depends on time. Our current situation is like playing an infinite game—there’s no endpoint, only experiencing the process. When it’s time to cash out and improve life, don’t hesitate; when it’s time to recognize mistakes, do so. Then, continue to optimize strategies in the next cycle.

BTC-0.63%

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DoomCanister

· 4h ago

Another year of losses, while gold has doubled, we're still holding on stubbornly. Bitcoin is just a gambler's game; either it makes a huge profit or a big loss, there's no middle ground. Continue downward in 2026? Then I'll just wait for the bottom to buy in, since I've already lost.

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LiquidatedDreams

· 4h ago

The high point at the beginning of the year was missed, now I'm stuck with it, this is the daily life of the crypto world, right? Gold rose 66%, while we lost 8%, the contrast is really stark. Historical cycles and all that are just talk; the key is still to master timing. 1.7 trillion versus 31 trillion, the gap... the dream of digital gold still has to wait a bit longer.

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OnchainDetective

· 4h ago

Those who FOMOed in at the beginning of the year are now eating dirt; they should have taken profits at 95K long ago.

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LiquidationWatcher

· 4h ago

It's another story of buying in at the beginning of the year, and now it has truly become a textbook-level cautionary tale. Gold has risen 66% while we lost 8%, that gap... is indeed a bit despairing. Wait, BTC has dropped to eighth place? Can't even beat silver? Then the "digital gold" meme needs to be revised. Losing even more in 2026? Mental preparation is definitely necessary, or else the mindset will really blow up.

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GasFeeCrying

· 4h ago

The bagholders are active again at the beginning of the year. Are we playing with coins or playing with our hearts? It's so much worse than gold, what else is there to say? It was about time to switch tracks. A 4-year cycle is unreliable. I feel like Bitcoin is now just an emotional market. What if 2026 turns out to be a big loss? Keep holding or cut losses and escape? The market cap gap is huge. Digital gold is really hard to achieve. It's time to admit losses when you should, there's no point in fighting yourself. Next cycle? Can we even survive that long? Haha. Historical data sounds good, but once you put it into practice, you're doomed.

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