The RSI and MACD on the daily gold chart have already shown obvious divergence, which often indicates that a correction is imminent. Once gold truly starts to decline, we will see a collective rally in the cryptocurrency market—assets like BTC and ETH, which are considered risk assets, usually strengthen accordingly.

The logic behind this is quite simple: capital is like flowing water, always moving from high-risk, high-premium areas to relatively undervalued and more attractive assets. When traditional stable assets lose their appeal, those risk assets with prices still in the trough and relatively safe fundamentals become new targets.

According to historical patterns, after the signal of a 3.5% decline on the daily gold chart appears, it typically takes about 100 days for crypto assets to reach a stage high. This time window roughly corresponds to the end of Q1, which should see a small climax. However, from a full-year perspective, I believe the end of Q1 is not the peak price of 2026; the true peak is likely to occur at the end of Q3.