Wall Street's 15 top investment banks have provided a key word for 2026: risk stacking. Amid the overall bullish market outlook, multiple uncertainties are hidden.



From the AI sector perspective, bubble risks are accumulating. Institutions like JPMorgan have issued warnings—the current AI investment boom may be overextended. Many analysts believe that, compared to the already high bubble risks, the potential for new bubbles forming in the future is even more concerning. This means investors need to find a balance between opportunity and frenzy.

There are also hidden dangers at the macro level. Europe's political divisions could hinder economic recovery, and the risk of escalating global trade frictions is rising. In the labor market, Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs both emphasize its fragility—just a slight increase in layoffs could lead to upward pressure on unemployment rates. This delicate balance can easily trigger a chain reaction if not handled carefully.

Another important variable is inflation. Some analysts expect that inflation levels will be difficult to return to central bank targets in the coming years. If prices continue to rise, market expectations for the Fed's rate cut cycle could be disrupted—even if the Fed Chair maintains a dovish stance. Moreover, under the intensifying K-shaped economy, consumer polarization is also putting pressure on the market.

The good news is that growth is still ongoing, but the conditions needed to sustain this growth are becoming increasingly stringent.
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StableGeniusDegenvip
· 2h ago
The term "risk stacking" sounds uncomfortable, and Wall Street folks seem to be playing a riddle. I've been saying the AI bubble for a long time. Now you're just warning? It's too late. If it really blows up, it will probably be within these two years. Let's see who is still swimming naked then. Inflation can't return to the central bank's target? Doesn't that make the Fed's rate cut expectations pointless? Those still daring to go all in now are either true warriors or true fools. I lean towards the latter haha. A delicate balance... one touch and it collapses. It sounds like the prelude to 2008. And what happened? It still crashed. The real volatility is when the K-shaped divergence intensifies. The common people are suffering. So now, should I go all in or buy the dip? Does anyone have a definitive answer? So annoying.
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NestedFoxvip
· 2h ago
Risk stacking means that the apparent prosperity is actually undercurrents of turbulence. I've long felt that the AI bubble is somewhat precarious. No one listens to the warnings from J.P. Morgan, and they keep pouring money in. This time, the new bubble might be more deadly than the old one. Europe's political mess, coupled with escalating trade wars, and the labor market teetering on the edge of a cliff—one misstep and it's all over. Inflation can't return to the central bank's target, and even the most dovish Federal Reserve can't save the situation. The K-shaped divergence is tearing consumers apart—who can withstand this? The conditions for maintaining growth are becoming increasingly harsh, essentially walking a tightrope. --- AI is indeed dangerous; the new bubble is harder to predict than the old one, and I think we should be cautious. --- The core of risk stacking is that there's no room for error anymore; any problem in one area can trigger others. --- Inflation is the real killer—rising prices mean that Fed rate cuts are just empty words. --- Vulnerabilities in the labor market: as layoffs increase, unemployment jumps—how quickly does this chain reaction happen? --- The conditions for sustaining growth are so strict that it feels like they're creating a bomb for the next big crash.
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OnlyUpOnlyvip
· 2h ago
Risk stacking, it sounds painful. Has Wall Street finally spoken some human words? I'm convinced about the AI bubble; it's clearly deflated but still being hyped. Be careful not to let it blow up completely if you're not paying attention. Inflation is really hard to control; no matter how much the central bank delays, it doesn't help, and the wallet still shrinks.
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ChainDoctorvip
· 2h ago
Risk stacking, just hearing about it is exciting. It feels like we need to learn to walk the tightrope by 2026.
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SnapshotBotvip
· 2h ago
I am really fed up with the term "risk stacking," which basically means avoiding pitfalls, but who knows where the next trap will be. AI is indeed getting a bit out of control, overexertion? Not yet, as long as the money keeps flowing, this round won't die out. Regarding European politics, with the trade war heating up, it hasn't calmed down. Unemployment rate going up? Just say it’s rising; there aren’t many warnings. If inflation can't return to the target level, then just accept it. When prices rise, the Federal Reserve can only watch helplessly. Continue growth? The conditions are getting more and more demanding. I've heard that so many times my ears are calloused, but if there's a chance, I still have to go for it. Risks are risks, but not playing is even more亏损. That's how it is.
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NotGonnaMakeItvip
· 2h ago
It's another layer of risk and a bubble warning. Investment banks are tired of using these phrases. AI is indeed a bit uncertain; the sense of overextension is too strong. How long can this wave of market trend last? It's quite delicate.
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AlwaysMissingTopsvip
· 2h ago
So, it's just betting on whether the Federal Reserve will suddenly change its stance. --- I've long stopped chasing the AI bubble; now those jumping on the bandwagon are just bagholders. --- Risk stacking... sounds like this market could break at any moment. --- Europe really drags down the global market; it's always the same story. --- If inflation truly remains high, the moment the rate cut expectations shatter, the market will plunge. --- The middle class is shrinking, the wealthy are eating up the gains, under a K-shaped economy, retail investors really have no way out. --- Continued growth? I think it's just overextending the future. --- Layoffs are the real hidden danger; as unemployment rises, everything will collapse. --- In plain terms, everything is risky; you can make money from anything, it all depends on your luck. --- With so many warnings from investment banks, it shows they are also out of confidence. Interesting.
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