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This Christmas night, the global financial markets will experience an unprecedented "relay shutdown."
In just a few hours, tens of trillions of dollars will engage in a spectator-less game within an extremely special time window—only 57 minutes long.
Specifically, after the US stock market closes early at 2:00 AM Beijing time, the pricing power in the global commodity futures markets continues to operate. At 2:45 AM, CME's precious metals, energy, and forex futures will close their trading channels; another 15 minutes later, at 3:00 AM, ICE's Brent crude oil futures will pause trading.
This 57-minute mismatch may seem short, but it could tear apart the operational logic of the entire financial system. While the stock market has already closed, news that catalyzes market volatility is still spreading. At this moment, algorithmic trading may collectively misjudge due to information asymmetry, and liquidity providers may shrink their positions because of difficulties in risk pricing.
Tens of trillions of dollars are like retreating waves, desperately seeking a safe harbor in this "regulatory vacuum." The artificial segmentation of holiday schedules exposes the inherent fragility of this sophisticated modern financial machinery—it relies on seamless connections between different exchanges and asset classes. Once this connection is broken, risks can spread in unpredictable ways.
This may just be the appetizer for Christmas night.