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In the first few months of 2025, many industry insiders' predictions have been harshly corrected by reality.
Let's start with ETH. Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee was full of confidence at the beginning of the year, claiming ETH would reach $15,000 by the end of the year. But what happened? ETH is still hovering around $2,939, far from the target. How big is the gap? This prediction versus reality is enough to make one feel the true "cost of speech."
Next, BTC. Strategy founder Michael Saylor was equally bold, announcing that Bitcoin would reach $150,000 by the end of the year. Currently, BTC is around $87,728. Although it has increased significantly since the beginning of the year, it still needs to nearly double to reach the $150,000 target.
The most painful are macro predictions. Bridgewater founder Ray Dalio openly warned of huge bubble risks in AI stocks. But the facts are in front of us—NVIDIA has gained over 30% from the beginning of the year, completely ignoring the bubble warning.
What do these cases tell us? The market is always more complex than any prediction. No matter how big the name or how professional the analysis, there are times when the market's true waves can cause even the most confident forecasts to fail.