Having been active in the crypto market for seven years, my assets have grown from initial thresholds to where they are now, and earning stable monthly profits has become routine for me. The pitfalls I’ve stepped into and the waters I’ve navigated over the years have gradually refined a relatively robust trading logic.
First is the fundamental position management—The Five-Partition Method. Divide your funds into five parts and only invest one part at a time. The obvious benefit of this approach is: with a 10-point stop loss, a single mistake costs only 2% of the total capital; five mistakes would only lose 10%. Conversely, once the correct direction is set with a take profit of over 10 points, the account growth rate will become significantly different.
Next is the importance of trend-following trading. During a downtrend, every rebound hides the risk of false signals; during an uptrend, every pullback could be a trap for bottom-fishing. Compared to blindly bottom-fishing, the success rate of low-entry buying is much higher. Also, avoid coins that have experienced rapid surges in the short term, whether mainstream or altcoins, following this principle. After a short-term surge, further upward movement becomes difficult; at high levels of stagnation, subsequent weakness will naturally lead to a decline—this is basic supply and demand logic.
On the technical side, MACD can help accurately identify entry and exit points. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break above it, it’s a relatively stable entry signal. Conversely, when MACD forms a death cross above the zero line and moves downward, it’s a signal to reduce positions.
The operation of adding positions (averaging down) has tripped up many people. The cycle of losing more and adding more can easily push someone into a deep abyss. The correct approach is to add positions only when in profit, not when in loss.
Trading volume often reflects true intentions better than price. Pay close attention to volume breakout in consolidation zones at low levels, but if volume surges and prices stagnate at high levels, you must decisively exit.
Finally, it’s an art to select the trend. Focusing only on coins in an upward trend is the most efficient. A 3-day moving average turning upward indicates short-term opportunities; a 30-day moving average turning upward signals medium-term opportunities; an 84-day moving average turning upward marks the start of a main upward wave; and a 120-day moving average turning upward signifies the establishment of a long-term trend. Regularly review the weekly K-line trend and adjust strategies promptly. This is the key to maintaining stable profits during altcoin seasons.
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CommunityLurker
· 6h ago
The five-point method sounds good, but in reality, most people can't stick to it. One big surge and they go all-in chasing the high.
Thinking positively about adding to profits, on the other hand, how many people are still holding on while losing money? That's the real psychological barrier.
Adding to positions can indeed be risky. I have a friend who keeps losing more the more he adds, and eventually his mindset collapses.
I've listened to the MACD golden cross signal many times, but it seems there are too many signals in a ranging market, making it easy to get cut.
Avoid coins that surge in the short term; many altcoins follow this pattern. One word: bagholder.
The point about trading volume really hit me. How many times have I seen high-volume stagnation at a high level and failed to exit decisively, resulting in losses.
Only following an upward trend is actually the simplest and most straightforward method, but executing it is full of temptations...
Seven years of stable profits—how much patience does that require? I can't do it.
This set of logic looks perfect, but I'm afraid a black swan event could cause everything to collapse.
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ValidatorViking
· 6h ago
averaging down on losing positions is how you end up as a cautionary tale, not a case study ngl
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SandwichDetector
· 6h ago
The five-point method sounds good, but it's really easy to break the execution... Especially when you see the coins flying up, who can resist haha
The part about "losing more and compensating" really hit home; so many people around me have blown up just like that
But to be fair, the logic from someone who has been consistently profitable for seven years might not be something many can truly follow
In terms of trend-following, I think that's the most crucial part; too many people like to bet against the rebound, which is basically gambling with their lives
Regarding trading volume, indeed, just looking at K-line charts without considering order book depth will eventually lead to losses
Having been active in the crypto market for seven years, my assets have grown from initial thresholds to where they are now, and earning stable monthly profits has become routine for me. The pitfalls I’ve stepped into and the waters I’ve navigated over the years have gradually refined a relatively robust trading logic.
First is the fundamental position management—The Five-Partition Method. Divide your funds into five parts and only invest one part at a time. The obvious benefit of this approach is: with a 10-point stop loss, a single mistake costs only 2% of the total capital; five mistakes would only lose 10%. Conversely, once the correct direction is set with a take profit of over 10 points, the account growth rate will become significantly different.
Next is the importance of trend-following trading. During a downtrend, every rebound hides the risk of false signals; during an uptrend, every pullback could be a trap for bottom-fishing. Compared to blindly bottom-fishing, the success rate of low-entry buying is much higher. Also, avoid coins that have experienced rapid surges in the short term, whether mainstream or altcoins, following this principle. After a short-term surge, further upward movement becomes difficult; at high levels of stagnation, subsequent weakness will naturally lead to a decline—this is basic supply and demand logic.
On the technical side, MACD can help accurately identify entry and exit points. When DIF and DEA form a golden cross below the zero line and break above it, it’s a relatively stable entry signal. Conversely, when MACD forms a death cross above the zero line and moves downward, it’s a signal to reduce positions.
The operation of adding positions (averaging down) has tripped up many people. The cycle of losing more and adding more can easily push someone into a deep abyss. The correct approach is to add positions only when in profit, not when in loss.
Trading volume often reflects true intentions better than price. Pay close attention to volume breakout in consolidation zones at low levels, but if volume surges and prices stagnate at high levels, you must decisively exit.
Finally, it’s an art to select the trend. Focusing only on coins in an upward trend is the most efficient. A 3-day moving average turning upward indicates short-term opportunities; a 30-day moving average turning upward signals medium-term opportunities; an 84-day moving average turning upward marks the start of a main upward wave; and a 120-day moving average turning upward signifies the establishment of a long-term trend. Regularly review the weekly K-line trend and adjust strategies promptly. This is the key to maintaining stable profits during altcoin seasons.