2025-12-27 16:24:44

Bitcoin has recently been hovering around $87,500, but this price is a bit strange — it is decoupling from the historical correlation with US stocks and gold. Based on past correlation patterns, the equivalent Bitcoin price for US stocks should be around $6,900, and for gold, about $4,500. In other words, the current Bitcoin price is significantly deviating from the usual trajectory.

Interestingly, a similar decoupling phenomenon occurred before — back when Bitcoin was below $1,000. That eventually led to a roughly 10x increase. So some are asking whether this is a repeat of history.

However, it’s important to note that the market structure may have changed. If the correlation is completely broken, this round of market movement may not follow historical patterns. How things will develop ultimately depends on time.

BTC0.06%

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ImpermanentPhobia

· 4h ago

Decoupling is decoupling, anyway history never repeats itself, it only rhymes. I really don't dare to bet on whether this time can 10x me. Wait, the US stock market is only at 6900? Doesn't that mean the bull market is still far away... By the way, the current market structure has long changed. Comparing with historical data is a bit too naive. Time will tell, but our bullets may not wait. 87500 feels like hanging in the air, neither up nor down, it's uncomfortable. This decoupling, either it's an opportunity or it's paving the way for a subsequent crash. Betting with this mindset is too risky. Actually, I just want to ask—who can be sure whether the current BTC price is reasonable? It's all armchair analysis after the fact. The bull market will come when it should, whether decoupling or not. Anyway, I haven't changed my holdings. Where is the breaking point? It feels like we're just waiting for a trigger.

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RetailTherapist

· 4h ago

Decoupling, to put it simply, means that Bitcoin is finally no longer playing with US stocks and gold, and is forging its own path. Wait, can 87,500 increase tenfold? Then it would reach over a million... Dream on, everyone. The key is that the market structure is completely different this time. You can't just use history as a template, or you'll get cut easily.

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ThreeHornBlasts

· 4h ago

Decoupling... to put it simply, BTC is starting to do its own thing again. 10x? Dreaming, or will it really happen again? But honestly, the market is still the same as before... Just wait, anyway the retail investors never sleep. Can this really break the record? I bet five bucks it can't. 88k is resting, feeling bored. Replaying history? Nonsense, they're all just new retail investors.

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MergeConflict

· 4h ago

Decoupling is decoupling, anyway history won't repeat itself exactly Wait, are you saying that BTC might be seriously overvalued now? Or do you mean this time it's really going to take off tenfold? Honestly, I find this logic a bit hard to understand, it feels like armchair strategizing after the fact This time is different, institutions are in, the game rules have long changed 6900 yuan? That's hilarious. There's no way it will return to that price; the times are different now

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GasFeeCrybaby

· 5h ago

Breaking away is just breaking away, anyway I stopped paying attention to those correlations long ago, it's all armchair strategizing after the fact. If you ask me, whether history will repeat itself or not is less important than observing institutional movements. The 8.7k price point is a bit awkward. Wait, how is the 6900 price calculated? Feels a bit off in terms of data. A tenfold increase sounds great, but the current scale is completely different, okay? Instead of obsessing over whether to decouple or not, better ask yourself if you have any bullets.

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