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Altcoin volatility essentially creates opportunities for those who dare to accurately grasp the rhythm. SOL's recent performance is a perfect illustration of this logic.
This morning’s market watch showed SOL repeatedly testing around 123—last night’s low was 121.2. Once it broke below, it was immediately pulled back to the 123 center. The 4-hour candlestick chart shows almost no volatility, with a range of less than 0.15%. It looks torturous, but this precisely indicates that a major trend is about to come. The most illustrative experience was in November last year: SOL surged from 80 straight up to 200. In the early stage, it repeatedly oscillated between 78-82 until retail investors couldn’t hold on and started to cut losses, only to be suddenly hit with a large bullish candle that wiped out all short positions.
How to interpret the technicals? The Bollinger Bands are extremely compressed, with an upper band at 123.37 and a lower band at 121.97, leaving only a little over 1 point of space in between. I’ve seen this kind of “extreme narrowing” many times—similar patterns appeared around 90 dollars in April 2024. At that time, I advised fans to fully allocate, and within three days, it rose to 115, with an average floating profit of 25 points. All signals are now repeating: the J value of KDJ surged to 70.32 (a critical breakout point), MACD just experienced a golden cross, and the green bars have fully turned red, all indicating that bulls are brewing a big trend.
On the news front, there are also bright spots. Don’t be fooled by claims like “SOL ecosystem has no new actions.” The DeFi ecosystem on the Solana chain has been continuously iterating and upgrading. Today’s new protocol activity data—
(The original text is incomplete; following the technical analysis framework, it is left here.)