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The market is all green, news is bombarding nonstop, and fingers are trembling between cutting losses and holding on tight. Today, let's analyze the true logic behind this wave of bulls and bears.
"ZEC will definitely hit 10,000!" Have you heard of it? Many people probably patted their thighs at the time, but when they looked at their account balances, they felt cold all over.
Last week, ZEC suddenly dropped 25%, and the group chat exploded—some followed the trend to buy the dip, some shouted for help to cut losses, and more beginners were completely confused in panic. I stayed glued to the market for three days, just trying to uncover what truth is hidden in these candlesticks.
**01 The underlying message of the big players' views: Don’t be used as a gun**
A well-known exchange founder did mention, "If ZEC drops to $300-350, I will consider adding to my position." Sounds confident, right? But upon closer inspection, it’s interesting.
He said "consider adding," not "already added"—this indicates even the big players are watching and waiting for clearer bottom confirmation signals, rather than rushing in now to get cut.
What’s more heartbreaking is that some analysis institutions issued warnings: beware of the "ramp-up and dump" tactic. Also, some paid promotions suddenly increased, being accused of trying to "find liquidity for exit."
The news is just for entertainment; real trading happens on the chart. Don’t let anyone’s words trap your money—protect your hard-earned cash yourself.
**02 Market phenomenon interpretation: Rebound does not equal reversal**
Pulling up the hourly chart, there are two details worth pondering:
The RSI indicator once dipped near 28, which is indeed an extreme low recently—like a balloon pressed underwater, it will always have a rebound tendency. But the question is, how high can this rebound push?
MACD showed a bullish crossover below the zero line, which looks tempting, but such signals are often unreliable in a weak market. Bottom signals and true trend reversals are separated by a long distance.