#预测市场 After reading Vitalik's latest insights on prediction markets, I feel deeply inspired. He’s absolutely right — prediction markets are like adding a "truth verifier" to social media.

Imagine every time we come across a catastrophic prediction, we check the actual odds on Polymarket. When we see those shocking claims only have a 3% chance of being true in the prediction market, we feel much more at ease. This isn’t just statistical data; it’s real money at stake — liars are directly punished by the market, and this economic incentive is more effective than any fact-checking.

This is the true charm of Web3. Prediction markets turn the human desire for truth into quantifiable, tradable value. Compared to sensational headlines in traditional media and emotional outbursts on social platforms, prediction markets answer the question, "Will this happen?" through market mechanisms. Every bet is a vote, and collective wisdom shines here.

Public discussions in future societies will increasingly rely on such mechanisms. When rational decision-making becomes profitable and telling the truth yields economic rewards, our entire information ecosystem will undergo a fundamental transformation. This is how decentralized finance reshapes reality — by using incentives to build a better world.