I compiled a list tracking the most profitable active traders on Polymarket—filtering out algorithmic strategies to focus on actual traders still playing the game.
The numbers are pretty striking. Most of these names sit comfortably above a 70% win rate, which honestly separates the signal from the noise in prediction markets. You've got people who clearly understand position sizing, when to hold, when to fold.
What makes this interesting isn't just the win rates—it's the consistency. These traders have built track records across multiple market cycles and event predictions. The fact that they're still active means they're not one-hit wonders either.
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DeFiDoctor
· 13h ago
A 70% win rate sounds impressive, but upon closer inspection, it's just survivor bias at play... How many of these still active ones are there?
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Whale_Whisperer
· 13h ago
70% win rate? I don't believe you... I have to verify it myself.
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ImpermanentPhilosopher
· 13h ago
70% win rate? Sounds pretty impressive, but those who have truly made it this far are saints, which means it's not just luck.
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SignatureDenied
· 13h ago
Is the 70% win rate real, or is it just a data selection bias...
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TokenToaster
· 13h ago
A 70% win rate or whatever, sounds good... The real wolves are those who can survive a few cycles.
I compiled a list tracking the most profitable active traders on Polymarket—filtering out algorithmic strategies to focus on actual traders still playing the game.
The numbers are pretty striking. Most of these names sit comfortably above a 70% win rate, which honestly separates the signal from the noise in prediction markets. You've got people who clearly understand position sizing, when to hold, when to fold.
What makes this interesting isn't just the win rates—it's the consistency. These traders have built track records across multiple market cycles and event predictions. The fact that they're still active means they're not one-hit wonders either.