Analysis: Market expectations for volatility this month are continuously increasing, with short-term IV for Bitcoin and Ethereum reaching their recent highs.

SmartContractAuditor · 2026-03-09T18:04:04+00:00

This week will see the release of important U.S. macroeconomic data, including CPI, unemployment figures, and PCE Price Index. However, the main market influence comes from the U.S. military actions against Iran, which have led to tensions in oil transportation. Implied volatility for Bitcoin and Ethereum has risen, increasing market demand for downside protection.

SmartContractAuditor

2026-03-09 18:04:04

Abstract generation in progress

Odaily Planet Daily reports that according to Greeks.live on the X platform, this Wednesday will see the release of U.S. February CPI data, Thursday will have unemployment figures, and Friday will release the January PCE Price Index — three important macroeconomic indicators.

However, in terms of actual impact, the military actions by the U.S. and Israel against Iran, which have affected the Strait of Hormuz, are the real macro events influencing the market and global oil transportation.

Since last week, implied volatility for major maturities has risen significantly. Currently, BTC’s short-term IV has reached over 65%, and ETH’s short-term IV has risen above 80%, both hitting recent highs.

Market expectations for volatility this month are increasing, with skew decreasing noticeably in recent days, indicating that demand for downside protection is continuing to grow.

BTC4.03%

ETH4.66%

View Original

This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.

1 Likes