ThePathOfEnlightenmentL

#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 $NVDA
Old Yellow enthusiastically touted good news at Computex but failed to rally the market, with NVDA's current price dropping to 213.16, directly breaking through the MA30 (214.22). This is very real; good news is exhausted and turns into bad news, coupled with macro oil prices and inflation expectations suppressing the market, which is starting to vote with its feet.
Review and latest trading plan:
The core position must be withdrawn: The orders we previously set at 215 have now broken below the established 217.50 and the previous support line today. There's no point in f

#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票 $MU
Market analysis: current price 1064.08, significantly deviates from MA5 (984.46), after-hours plummeted 3.40% to 1027.83, indicating a typical short-term top and shakeout.
Trading plan: refuse to chase highs. Wait on the left side for the decline to stabilize after the drop, and if it retraces to support at MA5 or the 1000 integer level, consider buying on dips; if broken, then watch MA10.

Last night's volatility indeed disrupted the rhythm of many short-term bulls. Recent overall trading has been focused on defense and counterattack. Because spot positions are controlled at reasonable levels and mainly concentrated in mainstream assets and top projects with strong ecological support, last night's late-night plunge, although resulting in unrealized losses, did not reach the long-term cost line of the spot holdings. On the futures side, strict stop-loss and light position strategies helped avoid this wave of liquidation. Always maintain reverence for the market; keeping sufficien

#Polymarket每日热点
Forecast: Very low probability (NO)
Judgment logic:
1. Transmission mechanism limited: The current outbreak involves the Andes virus, which is the only hantavirus strain capable of human transmission, but its spread requires long-term, close contact (such as among family and friends). Unlike COVID-19 or the flu, it does not have efficient airborne transmission capability, making a global outbreak unlikely.
2. WHO stance: The WHO has explicitly stated that the global risk level for this event is "Low," and emphasized that its nature is completely different from the early stages

1. Macroeconomic Game: President Trump’s visit to China (5/13-15) sent signals of trade easing, combined with the US-Iran situation entering a "temporary ceasefire period," and market risk aversion sentiment is shifting towards risk-on pursuit. After the geopolitical premium diminishes, funds are starting to flow from BTC to more elastic altcoins.
2. Altcoin Seasonal Wind: PayFi (Payment Finance) is currently the absolute leader; it is the most promising narrative for large-scale implementation after RWA. Meanwhile, as BTC stabilizes around 81k, there is a strong demand for ETH and altcoins to

Weekly Market Summary
This week in the crypto world definitely felt like a roller coaster, with heartbeat racing. At the beginning of the week, everyone was still hovering around $78,000, with the fear index lingering around 40, and no one expected how quickly the market would turn around later.
By midweek, the market suddenly entered a "violent mode," with BTC breaking through the resistance at $78,500, reaching above $80,450. This surge was actually somewhat "fake," mainly caused by short squeeze liquidations and a frenzy of expectations around Palantir's earnings report and AI concepts,

Simple and straightforward operational suggestions
Watch zone: Focus on the support strength of $79,200 - $79,500. If BTC drops sharply with volume below this level, it may quickly retest $76,000.
Contract warning: Currently, volatility is extremely low, and funding rates are becoming flat. Before the CPI data release on May 12, the market is likely to remain in a downward or sideways trend, so heavy long positions are not recommended at this time.
Watchlist: You can pay attention to the AI sector (such as SAHARA, ACE), as these projects have shown relatively strong independent performan

#U.S.-Iran Conflict Escalates Again
1. Situation: Localized friction, low probability of full-scale escalation, maintaining a balance of "fighting and talking."
2. BTC: Safe-haven sell-off, need to wait for positive non-farm payroll data to help break back above 80k.
3. Non-farm: Data expectations cool down (bullish), but high oil prices interfere with the pace of rate cuts, be vigilant against two-way manipulation.
Look less, act less, wait for the 80k level to stabilize. Keep going, bulls 💪

#Polymarket每日熱點 Prediction of Selected B ($110)
Brief judgment logic of the current backdrop:
Supply risk premium: The ever-changing situation in the Middle East directly threatens the stability of the global oil supply chain. As the market worries about supply interruptions, it will quickly drive up the war premium.
Psychological threshold breakthrough: If the tense situation continues, oil prices are very likely to break through the important psychological level of $100. $110 is a reasonable expected price that reflects moderate conflict and indicates the situation has not yet fallen fully

A breakthrough has been achieved, but be sure to guard against a “false breakout” followed by a pullback.
## Trading Strategy:
**Spot:** Since the price has already broken through $80,000, don’t force a chase higher at this moment. It’s recommended to wait for the price to pull back to the $79,200 - $79,500 support zone before considering adding to your position.
**Futures:** Market volatility is increasing, and the long-vs-short contest is intense right now. It is strictly forbidden to open high-leverage long positions below the $81,000 resistance level. If **BTC** can consolidate sideways ar

#Gate Square May Trading Share
Low volume sideways trading, waiting for the 5.12 CPI data.
Trading mindset: The current market is in "garbage time," and recovery after a sharp decline usually involves multiple retests. Do not be fooled by short-term 2-3% gains into entering the market.
Operational strategy: * Spot: It is recommended to continue observing or place staggered buy orders in the $76,500 - $77,000 range, and avoid chasing high above the resistance level of $78,500.
Futures: The funding rate has shifted from negative to neutral, reducing the pressure from shorts, but the bullish mome

“Leverage-driven rebound, not a reversal of sentiment.”
Based on the data, this BTC rebound is accompanied by a synchronized increase in open interest, indicating that the price rise is mainly driven by leverage in the futures market rather than pure spot buying.
Short-term risk: The options market shows that investors assign only a 25% probability to Bitcoin breaking $84,000 in May, and put options still trade at a premium, indicating that large investors are hedging downside risk.
Key observation point: Watch the U.S. inflation data (CPI) on 5 May 12. The market is currently extremely sensit

#Gate13 Wishing Gate gets better and better