No matter how fierce the market rally is, you still need to see if you're stepping on solid ground. XRP broke above $2.3 in the past two days, and the group was full of cheers, but my first reaction was to pull out the stop-loss order and take another look. Not to be a downer, but having been in this market for years, I've seen too many wild surges and crashes. Breakouts at key levels are definitely worth paying attention to, but staying calm amid the frenzy is the key to surviving and exiting. **What’s really going on with this breakout?** After XRP stabilized above $2.15, it went on a mad rush, soaring past $2.3 in one go. Why is this level so critical? Simply put, it’s both a recent resistance level and a support point at the 50-day moving average. Looking at the candlestick patterns, the daily chart indeed shows a bullish flag formation. If the price can hold above $2.25 in the short term, the next target could be around $2.8. But reality is harsh—the area between $2.4 and $2.6 is filled with selling pressure. Historically, attempts to push higher in this zone have been met with sharp declines. Currently, market sentiment is clearly bullish, but the risk of chasing the high is already evident. The real test isn’t complicated: can XRP establish a solid footing at this level and build a stable support platform? If it’s just riding on temporary enthusiasm without a strong foundation, a pullback could look ugly once it happens. **Capital inflows are real, but don’t overinterpret** Institutions are pouring money in, and that’s a fact. As of November 2025, Ripple completed a $500 million strategic financing round, led by Wall Street’s well-known investment firm Fortress Investment Group. The funds are real and substantial, but don’t take this as a reason for the market to skyrocket. Institutional money can push the market, but its impact is limited. Market sentiment, technical patterns, and retail participation are equally important. Sometimes, a seemingly spectacular breakout is just hot air, and a gust of wind can blow it away.

#比特币价格走势 XRP has been oscillating within the $1.92-$2.01 range, and the key is whether it can hold steady above the $2.00 level. From on-chain data, institutional funds have not significantly withdrawn, and the positive effect of Ripple obtaining a national trust bank license is still unfolding, providing a fundamental support for a rebound. However, short-term risks should also be taken seriously—single-day decline of 3.7%, a monthly total decline of 14%, and market sentiment is clearly under pressure. If it breaks below $1.97, support levels below will quickly weaken, potentially dropping directly to $1.80 or even lower. On the flip side, only when trading volume modestly increases and the price reclaims above $2.00 can a true rebound signal be confirmed, with $2.20-$2.30 being the effective target. The current pattern resembles a consolidation phase building a bottom, so there’s no need to be overly pessimistic or overly optimistic. The key is to observe whether institutional fund inflows and daily trading volume can effectively coordinate, which will determine whether the market consolidates or rebounds next.