#数字资产行情上升 December ADP data just landed—new jobs added only 41,000, falling short of the expected 47,000 and following a negative 32,000 print the previous month. This shows employment is indeed cooling, but not as robustly as expected. For the dollar, this is mild headwinds that actually reinforce rate-cut expectations. However, note that the ADP is just an appetizer; the real decision-making power rests with the non-farm payroll, CPI, and PCE.

How to read this week's momentum? Tonight's data release is like an appetizer, tomorrow's data has limited impact, and the real critical moment comes Friday—the U.S. December non-farm payroll data. This is the hard anchor that will set expectations for the Fed's January policy. Market sentiment lacks extreme panic right now; data is weak but mild, which serves as a "stabilizing expectations" signal for the rate-cut narrative and is quite favorable for the logic of risk-asset and crypto rebounds.

As for trading execution, it depends on who you are. For beginners, focus on directional longs, entering on dips—remember to control position size and set stop-losses, avoid frequently flipping direction. For experienced traders with systems and screen time, play both sides, capitalize on both rallies and pullbacks, watch for breakouts and false breaks at key levels, enter and exit quickly with strict risk control. If you don't want to monitor charts, become a limit-order trader—place buy orders at support levels and sell orders at resistance, avoid screen fatigue and emotional chaos.

Important dates ahead to remember: January 9 (Friday) for non-farm payroll, January 13 for CPI, January 27 for the Fed's interest-rate decision meeting. From a medium to long-term perspective, the Fed's rate-cut cycle initiation remains the core driver for crypto assets in 2026, with looser liquidity favoring the pricing of risk assets. Short-term is a game between data and policy expectations; after pullbacks, maintain a bias toward being long. The logic behind $BTC's current rebound stands; the key is whether the non-farm payroll can ultimately confirm this expectation.