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$BTC
Topic of action: testing support at 60,000 USDT
The market is balanced, with a short-term growth probability of 45%, and a decline probability of 55%. The bearish scenario still dominates, but fixed purchases by whales are creating a foundation for a future reversal. In the coming days, movement is expected within the range of 65,000–70,000 USDT with a risk of breaking down to 60,000 USDT.
Bullish scenario: institutional purchases by MicroStrategy and increasing whale holdings strengthen long-term confidence. RSI below **35** confirms oversold conditions, MACD is starting to turn upward.
Short-term long📈
Entry: 65,000 USDT ( position 30 %)
Stop-loss: 64,000 USDT
Take-profit: 71,500 USDT
Bearish scenario: LTH‑SOPR < **1.0**, ETF outflows, and negative funding rate (**‑0.000039**) indicate dominance of short ideas.
Short-term short📉
Entry: 67,800 USDT
Stop-loss: 70,000 USDT
Take-profit: 60,000 USDT