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Stable or rising real estate prices may alleviate asset inequality in South Korea, boost consumption, and encourage higher birth rates
Some analyses suggest that stabilizing real estate prices in South Korea could help alleviate domestic asset inequality, thereby promoting consumption and fertility. A report from the Future Strategy Research Institute of Shinhan Financial Group indicates that stabilizing real estate prices—central to asset inequality—can positively impact consumption and birth rates by reducing intergenerational gaps and improving economic conditions for young people.
Currently, the top 20% of households by net worth hold 65% of total assets, while the bottom 40% account for only 4.8%. This is because about 70% of household assets are concentrated in real estate, and rising property prices are exacerbating asset inequality. As a result, the net asset inequality index has reached its highest level in history, negatively affecting society as a whole.
The report points out that if housing costs decrease—especially for those aged 25 to 39—there is a high likelihood of a consumption rebound. This age group currently experiences the most significant consumption contraction; easing housing expenses could increase their investment opportunities in education, self-improvement, and career transitions. Additionally, the report explains that stable housing costs can encourage young people to marry and have children.
Financial markets are also expected to change. The report predicts that young people and newlyweds with surplus funds due to lower housing costs will have increased demand for new financial products, and some older individuals may choose to downsize their homes or utilize housing pensions. As a result, housing market transactions are expected to become more active.
This trend is anticipated to go beyond just stabilizing the real estate market and to have positive effects on society as a whole. In the coming period, it will be important to monitor how these policies and market changes actually unfold.