As of now, 1 CAD is approximately equal to 22.10 TWD. Under the influence of global economic and energy price fluctuations, the Exchange Rate has remained relatively stable. For Taiwanese consumers, a higher Exchange Rate increases expenditure pressure when it comes to traveling abroad and studying; however, for exporters, a higher Exchange Rate is advantageous for increasing foreign currency income.
First, the Canadian economy mainly relies on energy exports. When oil prices rise, the CAD will tend to appreciate; conversely, a decline in energy prices puts pressure on the Exchange Rate. The Taiwanese economy is driven by the export demand for electronics and semiconductors, and the inflow or outflow of foreign capital can significantly impact the TWD.
On the other hand, the changes in the US Dollar Index (DXY) also play a crucial role, as a stronger dollar will generally drag down other currencies including CAD and TWD. Interest rate policies are also key; if Canada raises interest rates to attract funds, CAD will strengthen relatively; while maintaining low interest rates in Taiwan may suppress the TWD. In addition, the international energy market and geopolitical turmoil can also affect the Exchange Rate.
In the short term, if the Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates, the US dollar will remain strong, and USD/CAD may break through. If oil prices continue to rise, the New Taiwan dollar is likely to face pressure. In the medium term, as Taiwan’s economy gradually upgrades, the market expects the rupee or New Taiwan dollar to gradually stabilize, and there is hope for appreciation to around 85 after global economic stability.
In the long run, if Canada’s energy policy remains stable, Taiwan’s economy continues to grow, and the global dollar trend weakens, CAD may fluctuate between 80 and 95. Some experts estimate that the long-term Exchange Rate trend will continue to adjust due to changes in the global economic structure and energy market.
Investors and cross-border business operators should closely monitor exchange rate fluctuations and use tools such as forward contracts and options for hedging to reduce the risks associated with exchange rate changes. International students or travelers are advised to plan ahead for currency exchange timing to obtain a better exchange rate. In addition, some investors also use stablecoins (such as USDT, USDC) to transfer funds within the Web3 ecosystem, as a substitute for traditional currency exchange, achieving risk hedging.
The fluctuations in exchange rates not only reflect the differences in energy, economic structure, and policies, but also play a key role in the macro economy and financial markets. Mastering future trends and strategically laying out investment opportunities is the best strategy in the face of uncertainty.
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