Luna Price Analysis and Short-Term Forecast – June 2025

Luna Price Introduction

Luna is the core governance token of the Terra 2.0 network, primarily used for voting, staking, and security mechanism protection. Since the collapse of the Terra ecosystem in 2022, the old version of Luna, which was originally pegged to the stablecoin UST (now referred to as LUNC), has forked into a new version of Luna, which is the asset represented by the current Luna Price.
Currently, Luna focuses more on governance rights, ecological reward distribution, and the execution of community proposals. Its price is influenced more by on-chain activities and governance proposals rather than the binding mechanism of algorithmic stablecoins. Understanding its background helps newcomers make more reasonable judgments when analyzing Luna Price.

Latest price and 24-hour market trends

Figure:https://www.gate.com/trade/LUNA_USDT
As of June 12, 2025, the Luna Price is 0.17524 USD, down 2.27% in the last 24 hours. According to CoinMarketCap, the current circulating market cap of Luna is approximately 103 million USD, with a 24-hour trading volume of nearly 16.9 million USD, and liquidity remains stable.
From a technical perspective, Luna’s price has recently been operating below the 30-day moving average, indicating that it is still in a weak oscillation pattern in the short term, and the market is in a wait-and-see phase.
In addition, the price of Luna has shown narrow fluctuations over the past week, with a rise and fall within 3%, reflecting a strong wait-and-see sentiment among large funds, and short-term speculative behavior being relatively restrained.

Latest developments in community and regulation

Recent important events affecting Luna Price include:

1. Terraform Labs extends the deadline for claims under the risk control trust: On May 16, 2025, the Wind Down Trust established by Terraform Labs announced an extension of the claims submission deadline. This move aims to provide original investors with more time to submit proof of asset losses and also reduces the risk of selling off in the short term, thereby providing some support to the market.
2. Community governance heat has risen: The Terra community governance platform has recently seen an increase in activity, with multiple proposals involving cross-chain bridge fund allocation, Dapp incentive programs, and more. Active governance represents a restoration of community confidence and indicates that more constructive funds will be投入 in DeFi and NFT applications, which is expected to support the upward logic of Luna Price in the medium to long term.
3. Tighter regulation at the macro level: International financial regulatory bodies such as the G7 and IMF are beginning to promote a globally unified framework for cryptocurrency regulation. While this may bring market uncertainty in the short term, it is beneficial for the survival and development of compliant projects like Luna in the long run, indirectly supporting their long-term value.

Short-term price forecast (July-September 2025)

Comprehensive analysis of mainstream prediction models and market analysis data such as Godex, CoinCodex, etc:

• July 2025: If the governance proposal is successfully implemented and the projects within the ecosystem progress smoothly, the Luna Price is expected to slightly rebound to the range of 0.180–0.185 USD.
• August 2025: If Bitcoin maintains a consolidation above $100,000, Luna Price may further oscillate upwards, targeting a range of 0.185–0.190 USD, but caution is still needed against profit-taking selling pressure.
• September 2025: If new projects in the Terra ecosystem lead to an increase in on-chain transaction volume, the most optimistic scenario for Luna Price could test 0.195 USD, but if regulatory headwinds or market risk events occur, it may still fall back to support levels below 0.165 USD.

Overall, the short-term trend of Luna Price will highly depend on the efficiency of community governance, the progress of ecological construction, and macro market sentiment.

Investment Tips

For community governance tokens like Luna, novice investors can consider the following points when participating:

1. Pay attention to on-chain governance dynamics: regularly check the proposals and voting results on Terra Station to determine which directions community resources will be directed, thereby better assessing the growth potential of Luna Price.
2. Adopt a batch purchasing strategy: In the face of the current volatile market, it is recommended that beginners do not invest heavily all at once, but instead choose a fixed amount to buy weekly, which helps average out the holding cost and avoid chasing highs.
3. Set the take profit and stop loss range: It is recommended to set the take profit target in the range of 10–20% of the current price. For example, if the price rises to 0.195–0.210 USD, consider taking partial profits; if the price falls below 0.160 USD, you should promptly stop loss to avoid risk expansion.
4. Control investment ratio: Beginners should avoid allocating Luna as a core asset, and it is recommended to account for no more than 5-10% of the total investment portfolio, using it more as a small proportion in DeFi asset allocation attempts.

Conclusion

Luna Price is currently in a phase of technical weakness, but the fundamentals and ecological development are gradually recovering. In the short term, it may maintain a range-bound market. For newcomers, paying attention to community governance changes, understanding ecological logic, and adopting a staggered layout strategy is an ideal approach to cope with the current Luna market. With the launch of the ecological fund distribution in the second half of 2025, Luna Price may usher in structural opportunities.
To follow the latest trends in Luna Price or to get first-hand information from the Terra community, it is recommended to follow their official channels and on-chain governance platform updates.