Gate News reported on March 27 that Polymarket added a new prediction event, “When will the Trump administration terminate the criminal investigation into Powell?” Data shows a 39% probability of termination before April 30, and a 56% probability before June 30. This market settles primarily based on official information from the U.S. federal government or widely trusted media reports. If the investigation is explicitly terminated before the corresponding time and has not entered the accusation or prosecution stage, it will be determined as “yes”; otherwise, it will be “no.” This investigation stems from Powell’s testimony to Congress regarding the Federal Reserve headquarters renovation issue in June 2025. Current President Trump previously stated in an interview that there are no immediate plans to advance the investigation and emphasized the independence of the Federal Reserve, with his team members also supporting Powell in completing his term.
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