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The big dump of BTC is imminent.
The rise in the short term is also in line with expectations.
I have always emphasized that there will be a big dump of BTC before the bull market arrives, and this time the big dump will be exceptionally crazy, ETH will directly drop to triple digits, and BTC will hit new lows. Many people do not believe it, thinking that I have been bearish and even saying that this is a bull market now. Is it really a bull market now? Clearly, it is not. Why?
1. Have you ever seen a bull market where only BTC rises and other coins do not? Look at BTC, which has risen from 74000 to 107000, an increase of 33000 USD, while other altcoins have only risen a few points. In that wave of increase last November, countless altcoins multiplied several times, and now altcoins have only risen a few points, and this is considered a bull market?
2. Have you noticed that there have been frequent positive news recently, such as tariff relaxations and the Federal Reserve planning to cut interest rates? Why are these positives being released when BTC is at a high? Isn't this just a way to get people to take over? Do you remember what news was around when BTC was near 74000? Trump was going to increase tariffs globally, then delaying the tariffs for 90 days was fake news, Powell's speech was ambiguous, and the U.S. stock market had a big dump, etc. Why was there all negative news at 74000, rather than positive?
3. 74000-107000, this round of increase has not seen a significant pullback, basically it has gone up in one breath. With the Federal Reserve not cutting interest rates and Japan about to raise interest rates, this large wave is completely manipulated by the big players. In a market where liquidity has not increased, pushing prices up desperately is clearly not right. There are so many trapped positions above, pushing prices up just to allow those who are trapped to sell, then taking all retail investors along for the ride? This is clearly not the main force's purpose; the purpose of pushing prices up is to trap more people in preparation for a subsequent big dump.
Four, before every bull market arrives, there will be a deep big dump, and the decline will be very fierce, just to wash out the trapped positions and retail investors. In the last bull market, BTC was halved before the rally, and this time the cleansing will also be very thorough. The main forces will not lift such a heavy load all at once, so do not be anxious. BTC has not yet pulled back, has not yet seen a spike, and has not yet been halved. A real bull market will only emerge after a big fall.
Just a reminder: the rise in the short term will not change the big dump of the overall trend, and a big dump does not mean that there won't be a rise now.