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In-depth Analysis of Bitcoin's Recent Market Trends | Key Movements and Strategies from November 26 to 29

(Opening: 30 seconds)

"Hello everyone! Today is November 29, 2025. Bitcoin has experienced a rollercoaster market this week — from the psychological level of $90,000 to the resistance zone of $93,000, with intense battles between bulls and bears. This article will take 3 minutes to clarify: Why did it rebound after a 35% drop? Can it break through $93,000? How should retail investors operate?"

1. Current Price and Market Sentiment (1 minute)

1. Core Data
- Latest price: $91,135 (Coin World, November 29, 01:11)
- 24h fluctuation: -0.41%, trading volume 49.665 billion, market capitalization 1.82 trillion
- Fear and Greed Index: 20+ (Panic alleviated, but not neutral)
2. Emotional Turning Point
- Whale Movements: Addresses holding 1000+ BTC increased their holdings by 2.2% in three weeks, but have cumulatively reduced their holdings by 12% in November.
- Retail behavior: Exchange balances continue to decline, funds are transferred to cold wallets

II. Key Technical Signals (2 minutes)

1. Focus of Long and Short Contest

- Resistance zone: 91,700 (Bollinger Band upper limit) → 93,500 (November 27 high) → $95,000 (Fibonacci 61.8%)
- Support levels: 90,000 (psychological barrier) → 87,600 (mid-November rebound starting point) → $81,250 (historical low) 2. Indicator interpretation
- MACD Golden Cross: Red bars increase, short-term bullish signal
- RSI rebound: increased from the oversold zone of 32 to 58, with buying pressure strengthening but not overbought.
- Futures Signal: The perpetual contract funding rate turns negative, short selling strength weakens 3. Volume observation
- Volume contraction rebound: During the rebound, if the trading volume does not exceed 50 billion, be wary of false breakouts.

3. Multi-Dimensional Fundamental Drivers (2 minutes)

1. Macroeconomic Policy Game

- Federal Reserve rate cut expectations: The probability of a rate cut in December fluctuates between 29.8% and 70%, putting pressure on dollar liquidity and risk assets.
- Regulatory Dynamics: Progress on the U.S. CLARITY Act has stagnated, with insufficient momentum for institutional capital inflows. 2. On-chain structural changes.
- Long-term holders: More than 5 years of coin age, with a continuous increase in holdings and clear accumulation at the bottom.
- Miner Behavior: Puell Multiple is approaching the cycle bottom (0.85), miner selling pressure is easing. 3. Market Cycle Positioning
- Halving correction period: After the halving in April 2024, historical patterns indicate a correction period of about 1 year, and we are currently in a mid-term adjustment phase.

4. Future Trend Forecasting and Strategies (2 minutes)

1. Long and short scenario simulation

- Bullish conditions: Breakthrough with volume at 93,500 → Target 95,000 → Challenge the psychological level of $100,000
- Bearish risk: Break below 89,000 → Accelerate down to 85,000 → Test ultimate support $81,250 2. Operational strategy layering
- Short-term traders:
- Long position: 90,000- 91,700 high sell low buy, stop loss $89,500
- Short Position: Light short near 93,500, stop loss at 94,500
- Medium to long-term investors:
- Investment interval: 87,000-90,000 for phased accumulation, total position ≤ 20%
- Risk control baseline: reduce position to 30% if it falls below $81,250

V. Risk Warning and Summary (1 minute)

- Black Swan Warning: Federal Reserve delays interest rate cut in December decision, exchange explosion, sudden regulatory changes
- Core conclusion: "Bitcoin is oscillating in the short term between 90,000 and 93,500, while the medium-term direction depends on macro policies and technological breakthroughs. Remember: position management > precise timing, the final sprint in 2025, those cautious may wait for a confirmation signal at $95,000!"

(Ending: 30 seconds)

"Follow this account to receive real-time Bitcoin strategies every day! Click the top right corner to subscribe and enable market alerts. In the next issue, we will deeply analyze the impact of the Ethereum Cancun upgrade on altcoins. Don't miss it!"

Data Sources and Visual Suggestions

- Chart: 4-hour candlestick overlay with Bollinger Bands/RSI/Volume (marking key support and resistance)
- Dynamic Material: Animation of whale address holding changes, Federal Reserve interest rate policy timeline
- Risk Warning: Emphasize "High Volatility" and "Stop Loss Discipline" with a red flashing border.

(The copy structure refers to the search results, data as of November 29, 2025, 08:00)