AVAX’s recent price action is pretty intense.

The liquidation data from the past hour tells the whole story—short liquidations are 228 times higher than longs. This kind of extreme long-short imbalance means either the big players are shaking out positions, or a new trend is underway. Considering the on-chain capital movement signals, the latter seems more likely.

That said, the current RSI has skyrocketed to 79.8, which is firmly in the overbought zone. Jumping in now is basically handing money to others. The smarter move is to wait for a pullback and let the market catch its breath.

If the price can retrace to around 14.2, that’s a good spot to consider an entry. This level has both technical support and helps avoid the risks of buying at the top. If you’re already holding, keep an eye on the 14.20-14.56 range, but don’t go in too heavy. For stop-loss, 13.50 is a hard line—if it breaks, don’t hesitate to exit.

Looking up, the short-term target can be set at 14.80. If that breaks smoothly, 15.50 or even 16.2 aren’t out of the question.

In markets, everyone thinks they’re a genius when prices go up, but when they fall, that’s when discipline matters. AVAX is definitely in the spotlight right now, but that doesn’t mean you should FOMO in blindly. Keeping your cool and managing your pace is more important than anything.