A few pieces of news were released over the weekend, and friends who are holding no positions probably had trouble sleeping.
On the policy front, here are three concrete moves: The China Securities Regulatory Commission has relaxed restrictions for brokerages, widened their capital space, and lifted the leverage cap. This directly explains why brokerage stocks suddenly surged last Friday. There’s also movement among fund companies—a new performance assessment ties compensation strictly to results. If targets aren’t met, fund managers could see pay cuts of up to 30%; this rule is pretty tough. Insurance funds are also adjusting their risk factors, and at this year-end window, there’s a high probability they’ll be increasing positions. They’ve always favored stable products like the CSI 300, China Securities Dividend Index, and SSE 50.
Overseas data is also supportive: US inflation came in lower than expected, consumption growth has clearly stalled, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising again.
There’s a technical detail worth watching—the ChiNext Index has recently outperformed the Shanghai Composite. Last week, it repeatedly tested the resistance at the 60-day moving average and finally broke above it on Friday. The main players are likely looking for a breakout opportunity in the ChiNext. If this rebound continues, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the ChiNext Index reach 3,200 points.
Today, the key is whether the market can hold steady, and not fall into another round of surging and pulling back.
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BearMarketNoodler
· 3h ago
Feeling uneasy with an empty position? That’s right, it means this rally isn’t just a bluff. The ChiNext Index has risen above the 60-day moving average; this is a smart move by the main players, and 3200 points is indeed not far off.
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HappyMinerUncle
· 12-08 04:50
Easing leverage? They're just setting up to fleece retail investors again, same old tricks after all these years.
The real deal is if the ChiNext can hold its ground—let's hope it's not another staged sell-off.
Insurance funds topping up on CSI 300? How "prudent"—looks more like a prudent way to harvest gains from the little guys.
Rate cut expectations are back again. They hype it up every time, but what actually happens in the end?
3,200 isn't just a dream—the real question is, can we hold on to it? Haha.
Fund managers getting a 30% pay cut is pretty ruthless. Performance speaks for itself, numbers don't lie.
So much news over the weekend—feels like another setup to trap retail investors.
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PhantomMiner
· 12-07 23:51
Damn, brokerage firms are really about to take off this time, and insurance funds are also following up to increase their positions... I was still struggling yesterday about whether to get in or not.
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LootboxPhobia
· 12-07 23:50
This rally in brokerages is real, but don’t get too excited—main players love to keep us hanging.
Just waiting for the ChiNext Index to hit 3200; only a true breakout counts if it can break through.
Fund managers’ salaries cut by 30%... that’s a pretty big threat.
Friends holding no positions probably won’t sleep well tonight, but unfortunately, I don’t have money to buy in either.
Insurance funds are replenishing those old, rundown stocks—I'll just wait and see.
If it surges and falls back again, I’ll be eating dirt.
The real focus is the rising expectations for a US rate cut, right?
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governance_ghost
· 12-07 23:47
Damn, another weekend bomb. Can my empty position hold out until Monday?
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MetamaskMechanic
· 12-07 23:32
This rally from brokerages is really great, but the ChiNext board is the main course. 3200 points is a hurdle.
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DiamondHands
· 12-07 23:30
Oops, being completely out of position was really extreme. You must be regretting it so much now, haha.
A few pieces of news were released over the weekend, and friends who are holding no positions probably had trouble sleeping.
On the policy front, here are three concrete moves: The China Securities Regulatory Commission has relaxed restrictions for brokerages, widened their capital space, and lifted the leverage cap. This directly explains why brokerage stocks suddenly surged last Friday. There’s also movement among fund companies—a new performance assessment ties compensation strictly to results. If targets aren’t met, fund managers could see pay cuts of up to 30%; this rule is pretty tough. Insurance funds are also adjusting their risk factors, and at this year-end window, there’s a high probability they’ll be increasing positions. They’ve always favored stable products like the CSI 300, China Securities Dividend Index, and SSE 50.
Overseas data is also supportive: US inflation came in lower than expected, consumption growth has clearly stalled, and expectations for a rate cut in December are rising again.
There’s a technical detail worth watching—the ChiNext Index has recently outperformed the Shanghai Composite. Last week, it repeatedly tested the resistance at the 60-day moving average and finally broke above it on Friday. The main players are likely looking for a breakout opportunity in the ChiNext. If this rebound continues, it wouldn’t be surprising to see the ChiNext Index reach 3,200 points.
Today, the key is whether the market can hold steady, and not fall into another round of surging and pulling back.