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Reasons for being bearish? Let me list out the hard facts for you.
First, the Fed’s interest rate cuts have directly squeezed the arbitrage space—that’s card one. Then, the yen raised rates, further narrowing arbitrage opportunities—card two. Next, USDT continues to trade at a negative premium, which is a clear signal of stricter regulation—that’s a solid third card, right?
On a broader scale, there are no real signs of a reversal in the long-term downtrend; the technical indicators are clear—fourth card. And don’t forget, the USD/JPY exchange rate has already pulled back 2%, showing a shift in capital flow—fifth card complete.
With these five factors combined, a bullish reversal? That’s going to be extremely tough. BTC and ETH are likely to remain under pressure in the short term; market sentiment hasn’t reached a turning point yet.