#数字资产市场洞察 Big move at 21:30 tonight, the crypto market is going to shake



Over in the US, two data releases are coming tonight, and neither has come out yet. Honestly, once these two data points are published, the market in the crypto space will likely get lively. Everyone should be alert.

First, unemployment claims. For the week ending December 13, the initial jobless claims in the US were 236,000, while the market expectation was 225,000. If the actual number is lower than expected, it indicates that the US labor market is still quite resilient. In that case, the Federal Reserve's motivation to cut interest rates further will weaken, the dollar will strengthen, and then cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum might face downward pressure. Conversely, if the data is higher than expected, it suggests the labor market is softening, and the market will anticipate the Fed to loosen monetary policy, which could push crypto prices upward.

Next, core CPI. The seasonally adjusted core CPI year-over-year for November, with a market expectation of 3%. This indicator directly reflects the temperature of US inflation. If the actual value exceeds 3%, it indicates ongoing price pressures, and the Fed will be less likely to cut rates easily, which is a pressure on the crypto market. If the actual value is below expectations, showing signs of easing inflation, expectations for rate cuts will rise, and risk assets (including cryptocurrencies) will be pushed higher.

In simple terms, how the Federal Reserve manages its monetary policy directly determines where liquidity flows. These two data points are the weather vanes. During the release period, the volatility of major coins like $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL will likely spike significantly. So, positions should be well-controlled, and take-profit and stop-loss orders should be placed in advance—don't wait until the last minute.

If you're unsure how to operate, just wait and see how the market develops. Managing risk always comes first.
BTC1.01%
ETH1.93%
SOL3.37%
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PuzzledScholarvip
· 12-18 11:48
It's the same old story with the Federal Reserve. Every time the data comes out, the coin gets hammered down. Surely they won't pull another false alarm, right?
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CoinBasedThinkingvip
· 12-18 11:27
Ah, it's another Fed data night. Do I dare to gamble this time... Take profit and stop loss in advance, or else I'll get hammered again.
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ImpermanentPhobiavip
· 12-18 11:24
Wait, so these two data releases tonight are the real game changers? I thought they were just normal good or bad news. --- At 21:30, I guess I'll be staying up late to watch the market again. It feels like every US data release is a roller coaster in the crypto world. --- You're right, every time the Federal Reserve takes an action, the market trembles three times. We're all used to it now. --- Is it actually bad if unemployment claims are low? That logic is a bit confusing, but good employment definitely means a stronger dollar. --- I just want to know whether it will go up or down in the end. Don't beat around the bush, just give me a direction. --- Take profit and stop loss need to be set in advance. I hear this every time, but when it comes to critical moments, you still have to manually close positions. --- Core CPI is the real determining factor; there's too much fluff in the unemployment claims data. --- It seems I need to start adjusting my positions now, afraid that I'll regret it after 21:30. --- Don't tell me to control risk. When I buy crypto, I never think about the word 'risk.'
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