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Here's an interesting perspective. If NVIDIA plans to ship 50,000 units of the NVL72 cabinet this year, what would be the scale of industrial silver needed behind the scenes? Based on estimates, it would require about 100 tons of silver.
It seems like a lot, but when put into the context of the global market, it's a different story. The world's annual silver production is just over 26,000 tons, so this additional demand of 100 tons accounts for only about 0.4% to 0.5%.
In other words, the chip industry does have a pull on silver and can provide positive demand-side support. But relying solely on this factor to trigger a "short squeeze" in silver? That seems unlikely at the moment. However, these cross-industry demand shifts are worth paying attention to in the long term—after all, the continuous growth in chip demand will eventually put pressure on upstream raw materials.
Overhyped about silver short squeezes, we need to wait until chip demand truly explodes.
In the long run, it's definitely worth paying attention to, but in the supply chain, no one can predict when a sudden bottleneck might occur.
But you know, three years ago someone also said that the demand for AI chips was negligible, and what happened... The pressure on the industry chain accumulated little by little. I still believe in this long-term logic, although the short-term squeeze market is indeed risky, but the upstream raw materials position will eventually be pushed forward by the chip wave.
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Silver is just destined to be unable to get a share, always a runner-up.
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In the long term, chip demand will indeed consume raw materials, but relying on this for a turnaround in the short term... haha.
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100 tons sounds like a lot, but in reality, it’s a tiny proportion, and the market doesn’t have that much imagination.
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Nvidia indeed needs silver this time, but to be honest, it’s quite uneventful.
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The demand change in the supply chain is a good point, but if silver can’t turn around, it just can’t.