2025-12-24 09:28:10

I have been in the crypto space since 2015, experiencing liquidations, pitfalls, and the thrill of overnight tenfold gains. But to be honest, what has kept me alive until today is not those wealth myths, but a set of very simple rules—filter out 99% of traps and only trade what I can understand. Today, I want to share this complete logic, which should be helpful for those who neither want to monitor the market 24/7 nor enjoy high risks.

**Selecting Coins: Cutting Through Noise with the Three-Strike Approach**

I never chase the dream of hundredfold coins. The most straightforward data: 80% of losses come from choosing the wrong targets. So my current coin selection process is as cold and efficient as an assembly line.

Quickly scan the "Top 50 gains in the last 11 trading days" list every day. Coins that make this list clearly have short-term speculative capital involved, which is much more credible than listening to someone in a small community calling shots. But be careful—coins in the top three of the gain list often diverge the next day, so don’t follow blindly.

Coins that have fallen for 3 consecutive days are directly eliminated. This isn’t a shakeout; it’s a signal that funds are exiting. The 2024 Meme coin craze is a textbook example—many coins surged and then declined over 30%, with retail investors trying to buy cheap.

Only look at targets where the monthly MACD shows a golden cross at the bottom. The monthly chart represents the big picture and can filter out 90% of false breakouts and fake signals. Take SOL, for example—when it bottomed out this year, the monthly MACD formed a golden cross, and in the following three months, it doubled—this is a true reflection of the bull-bear boundary.

Another personal standard: coins ranked outside the top 100 by market cap and with a daily trading volume below $10 million are off-limits. With such poor liquidity, when you want to exit, you might not be able to, and most likely you’ll get caught.

**Entry Point: Focus on One Signal—Pullback to the Life Line + Volume Increase**

After selecting a coin, the entry point is simple. I rely on this: a pullback to a key support level combined with increased trading volume. Many people like to chase high prices, but ending up holding the bag—waiting for a pullback opportunity can often save you 30% in costs.

SOL-0.88%

MEME-1.18%

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gas_guzzler

· 10h ago

That's right, 99% of people die in the process of choosing coins. I've seen too many people get chopped up by shitcoins. I also use the monthly MACD golden cross strategy, which is much more reliable than blindly following the trend. If it drops for three consecutive days, cut decisively—there's no need to hesitate. This logic can really help you survive longer, much more clear-headed than those dreaming of overnight riches. Coins with poor liquidity are really not to be touched; you can't even escape when you want to.

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OnchainUndercover

· 10h ago

Nine years of experience as an old trader, speaking from personal experience, and what you said is indeed reasonable. I have a deep understanding of the 80% loss in choosing coins... I also use the monthly MACD golden cross, and SOL indeed didn't escape that wave. It's just that the rhythm of retesting support + increasing volume sometimes can't be accurately judged. How do you determine whether the volume increase is a true breakout or just a last-ditch struggle... I'm impressed with the industrialized process of selecting coins, much better than my previous small group copycat approach. The problem is that the top 50 gainers list changes every day, and sometimes it feels like chasing the tail of the trend. For me, a market cap over 100 and a trading volume below ten million is a bit high. Most small and medium coins fall into this range... Forget it, I’d rather wait patiently for a retest of coins like SOL. The dream of turning tenfold overnight is something I've experienced before. Now I just want to stay alive steadily. Your logic still has some reference value for people like us who want to make money but are also afraid of losing.

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NestedFox

· 10h ago

Hmm, this set of logic sounds a bit insightful, but I think the idea of the monthly MACD golden cross has been somewhat mythologized, right? Wait, just because it drops for 3 consecutive days and then draws a line? Those good targets that will rebound might be missed by you... You're quite right, but these days, very few people truly stick to "only do what they understand," most still can't escape the trap of greed. Self-discipline is more valuable than any indicator, but honestly, most people simply can't do it. What I mainly want to ask is, how do you operate this screening method in a bear market? Do you need to change the standards? It feels like the author has indeed been through some stuff, otherwise they wouldn't say such warm words. Damn, for a market cap outside the top 100 and a trading volume of at least 10 million, with such strict conditions, there probably aren't many coins to choose from, right?

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SelfMadeRuggee

· 10h ago

If it drops for 3 consecutive days, just sell. I accept this logic. Last year, when Meme coins爆雷, that's how people died. The monthly MACD golden cross sounds reliable, but how many retail investors can really wait for that moment? Getting in in 2015 and surviving until now is indeed not easy, but is this method really friendly to small funds? Waiting for a pullback to buy sounds simple, but it can be mentally exhausting, and when your mindset collapses, you'll chase the high. It sounds good, but you still need to be able to withstand psychological torment. I've got the liquidity part now; I previously suffered losses because small coins couldn't escape. This filtering logic indeed emphasizes risk management, unlike those boastful educational posts. The problem is, when the market heats up, these rules are instantly broken by enthusiasm, right?

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ProbablyNothing

· 10h ago

Skipping directly after 3 consecutive days of decline, I have deep experience with this. The wave of Meme coins in 2024 indeed caused significant losses. The logic of the monthly MACD golden cross is solid, and SOL's recent performance verified it. Waiting for a pullback before entering the market can save about 30%... It's easy to say but hard to do. Psychological readiness is the biggest hurdle. Filtering out 99% of traps sounds simple, but in reality, it's a battle against one's own greed. The top three coins in terms of gains show divergence the next day; this detail is very important. Following blindly makes you a leek (retail investor). I won't touch liquidity below 10 million; I really don't want to experience being trapped again. Only play with a market cap in the top hundred; small coins are too risky.

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BlockchainBard

· 10h ago

Having three consecutive days of decline, I have to admit, I give up on that point to avoid constantly watching the losing coins hope for a rebound. Waiting for a pullback + volume increase is indeed a perfect move, but retail investors lack this patience and are always chasing highs. I've tried the MACD golden cross, and I did catch the SOL wave, but it's not always this smooth. Coins outside the top 100 by market cap with daily trading volume less than ten million can't escape at all, and that's very true. I've also dreamed of a hundredfold coin, but now I just want to survive and make money, not get rich overnight. This set of logic sounds simple, but few people actually execute it. Do the top three on the gainers list always diverge on the second day? Sometimes they continue to surge. The most difficult part of choosing coins is not the technology, but mindset and patience.

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