2025-12-24 10:26:29

Recently, the performance of Bitcoin and Ethereum has indeed been worth paying attention to. During the early hours, both major mainstream cryptocurrencies tested previous support levels. Although there was a rebound afterward, the rebound strength was clearly insufficient, and they are now back near the lows, showing an overall weak trend. $BTC $ETH

From a technical perspective, this kind of weak rebound itself is a risk signal. However, we have always maintained a cautious approach in our operations. Although the overall outlook is bearish, we never blindly chase short positions at the bottom. Fake breakouts are common in the crypto market, and this was indeed confirmed a few days ago—the pattern of诱空 (trapping longs) at low levels followed by a rebound played out again.

What is the most practical trading strategy right now? Waiting for the rebound to reach key resistance levels before considering short positions, as this will increase the probability of a successful entry. For example, with Ethereum, when the rebound reaches the 2980-3000 range upper boundary, it is a good short entry point. In recent market movements, Ethereum indeed rebounded near 2988, making the entry much safer. However, the price then declined again. $ETH

The underlying logic is quite clear. Currently, it is the Christmas holiday period, most institutional investors are on vacation, and the market lacks strong driving forces, exhibiting typical consolidation and sideways movement. In this environment, our main arbitrage strategy is to use the oscillation range to perform swing trading. Whenever Ethereum approaches the 3000 level, there are opportunities to short. I have been executing such trades continuously for a week, completing 4 to 5 operations, and the results have been quite good.

The overall strategic framework can be summarized into two lines: in the short term, mainly engage in swing trading, considering short positions especially when the price reaches various resistance levels during rebounds, then wait for a pullback to take profits; in the long term, hold low-multiplier short positions, which allows participation in the downward trend without worrying about liquidation risks, seeking steady progress. When the market bottom truly appears in mid-next year, it will be the time to go all out. By then, it might be the real big opportunity.

BTC1,13%

ETH0,37%

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MergeConflict

· 2025-12-26 02:37

Christmas holiday institutions are on break, and this wave of volatility is a great time to pick up some profits. Playing the bait-and-switch trick repeatedly, I'm used to it by now, nothing surprising. Around 3000 is indeed a good entry point for shorts, sounds reliable. Wait, you've made 4 to 5 trades this week... how much did you earn? Honestly. Waiting for the bottom until mid-next year? Then just hold your coins and relax this month. Weak rebounds are most likely to produce false breakouts, that's how I operate too. Now it's all about buying high and selling low, don't overthink it. Institutions are on holiday, so retail traders can play on their own. There are indeed opportunities for swing trading.

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MetaverseHomeless

· 2025-12-24 10:54

It's another trap to lure short sellers, truly hard to guard against. This week, repeatedly shorting around 3000 has indeed earned some swing trading fees, but honestly, how many times have we used the excuse of the Christmas holiday market closure... The real opportunity will probably come in mid-next year. For now, just be patient and hold on.

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TokenomicsTrapper

· 2025-12-24 10:46

lol "weak bounce = risk signal" buddy have you considered that's literally what people said in nov 2023 before the rip... textbook greater fool theory, call bottoms confidently then get surprised when vesting unlocks don't actually matter

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LiquidityWitch

· 2025-12-24 10:45

A weak rebound is just a trap for more buying. The 3000 level is really an excellent shorting point, and I've been caught there a few times. With institutions on holiday and the market so dull, swing trading is the real way to make a move. Low-multiplier short positions are comfortable, no need to watch the charts every day, and you can still make a profit. Waiting for the bottom to appear is the real opportunity. For now, patience is truly needed.

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POAPlectionist

· 2025-12-24 10:45

It's another weak rebound pattern; this wave is indeed not solid. The swing trading idea sounds pretty good, but I'm just worried about a false bottom and another set coming. The 3000 level is really a tough spot, but wait until mid-next year? By then, the flowers will have withered. This week, 4-5 trades were completed successfully, just don't overdo it. The fake breakout trap is really annoying; I keep falling for it every time. It still feels like waiting for big funds to re-enter the market is more meaningful. Right now, it's definitely a holiday market. Holding low-leverage short positions is safer; it's better than chasing rallies and selling in a panic.

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gaslight_gasfeez

· 2025-12-24 10:34

Alright, watching them repeat the old trick of bouncing and shorting again, I'm really speechless. During the Christmas holiday, no one is trading, and institutions are on vacation. This wave of volatility is just to harvest the little guys. I'm also watching the 3000 level, but honestly, it feels a bit mysterious. 4 to 5 trades a week? But if you can really consistently do swing trading, that’s not bad. Just worried that the "big opportunity" in mid-next year will be another no-show, haha. Wait for the bottom; anyway, I don't dare to heavily chase right now.

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ProveMyZK

· 2025-12-24 10:32

All institutions are on holiday during the Christmas break. This wave of market movement is a tailor-made opportunity for retail investors. With 4-5 trades in a row over the past week, stable arbitrage is that simple.

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