Looking at the recent trend of Bitcoin, the 1-hour K-line has already entered the end of a converging oscillation. The Bollinger Bands bandwidth has reached 2465 points, and the price is hovering around the middle band at 87347. At this point, looking at the MACD, the DIF and DEA are about to converge above the zero line, and the histogram has shrunk to -28, clearly indicating that short-term momentum is waning, and the market is brewing a direction choice.



From a technical perspective, resistance is in the range of 88080-88500, with support levels at 86615-86500. Both bulls and bears are lurking here.

If you want to go long, you need to wait for the price to break through 88080 with volume, and for the MACD to form a golden cross, confirming that the upward trend will continue. Once this signal appears, you can enter at this level. The opposite applies for short positions—if the price falls below 86615 and the MACD forms a death cross and spreads, a correction will begin.

My operational suggestion is as follows: observe within the range of 86500-88000, don’t rush to act. Once the price breaks above 88050 and pulls back to around 87600, consider going long with a target of 89500 and a stop-loss at 87200. Conversely, if it falls below 86500 and rebounds near 86800, you can short with a target of 85500 and the same stop-loss at 87200.

The changes in current open interest show that the bulls and bears are still in fierce competition. At this time, the most important thing is to wait for confirmation signals and avoid being fooled by false breakouts. Especially note that around December 25, liquidity may undergo significant changes, which must be taken seriously. Strict risk control is always the top priority, especially in this kind of indecisive market.
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SerRugResistantvip
· 13h ago
Once again, stuck in this indecisive market where I can't move, I just like to watch this kind of situation, wait for confirmation signals, anyway, I'm not in a hurry. --- The Bollinger Bands are so narrow now, it's definitely time to choose a direction, just see who breaks first. --- If it can't break above 88,000, I will look bearish. This rally feels a bit weak. --- Is the golden cross/death cross setup still useful now? Feels like there are a lot of fake signals lately. --- Liquidity will change around December 25th, be cautious not to get crushed through. --- Stuck oscillating in the middle band, a typical inhumane market, I choose to lie flat and observe. --- To go long, break above 88,050; to go short, break below 86,500. Don't think about anything else, it's that simple. --- The trading volume is so intense, indicating there are still people gambling. I'm just waiting for big funds to get exposed. --- Hearing "risk control first" so many times, but in this kind of stalemate market, you really have to hold on tight, or your account could blow up at any moment.
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TokenVelocityvip
· 13h ago
It's another choppy market; the worst thing is being knocked out by a false breakout. Wait for the signal, don't act recklessly. During this period around Christmas, liquidity is so poor that it really can't hold up. With such strong resistance at 88,000, only a breakout can be trusted.
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Anon4461vip
· 13h ago
It's another choppy market, really annoying. Being caught in the middle, I don't even dare to move. Just wait for signals. Anyway, with so many false breakouts, it's better to be cautious. Be especially careful around December 25th; liquidity is unpredictable. Set your stop-loss properly, and don't be greedy to avoid liquidation. Both bulls and bears are lurking in this wave. I'm choosing to stay on the sidelines and watch.
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GasFeeAssassinvip
· 13h ago
Bollinger Bands have already reached 2465 and are still hesitating. This market is just waiting for a confirmation signal, so don't make reckless moves. Wait, is this MACD convergence about to lead to a big move... Be cautious around December 25th, as liquidity changes are unpredictable. My advice is to stick to your stop-loss. Haha, always observing and waiting for signals. I like this kind of choppy market; a smooth trend is actually easier to lose money on. Will the breakthrough of 88080 be with volume? That's the real test. Otherwise, it's just a false breakout to trap stop-losses. I think risk control is most important during this period. Don't blow up your account for a small profit. Honestly, the market is like this. If it's time to act, just do it. Don't hesitate. If the support at 86500 really breaks, there might be nothing left to stop the decline, so keep a close eye on it.
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SybilAttackVictimvip
· 13h ago
Oh no, still waiting for the golden cross and death cross, I'm tired of waiting... The Bollinger Bands are so tight, it feels like it's about to explode any second. If 88080 can't be broken, is it really going to turn yellow? Let's see how it develops later. Positioning, positioning, always positioning, just don't want us to make money, huh. The liquidity change on December 25th doesn't sound very good, better be careful. Stop loss at 87200, if it's a false breakout and it suddenly drops in, that would be uncomfortable.
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BlockImpostervip
· 14h ago
The Bollinger Bands are so narrow now, indicating a breakout is imminent, but it's unclear which direction it will break. Waiting for the golden cross before entering is a bit safer, but fake breakouts are really annoying. This market looks like it's holding back a big move; be more cautious around December 25. The target of 89,500 is not a dream, but you also need to stick to your stop-loss—don't be greedy.
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LightningAllInHerovip
· 14h ago
The most annoying thing about a stagnant market is just waiting for that golden cross signal. As long as it doesn't fake out me, that's fine. The Bollinger Bands are squeezed to this extent; the direction should be chosen now, but risk control really needs to be strict. This key level at 88080—if it can't break through, it'll still be oscillation, and it's really frustrating.
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