2025-12-24 12:22:04

Recent US economic data reveal some subtle warning signs. Over the past year, heavy truck sales have fallen to 5.1 million units, the lowest since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020. More importantly, if pandemic factors are excluded, this is the lowest point in the past 8 years.

The story behind the numbers is even more thought-provoking—over the past 18 months alone, annual truck sales have declined by approximately 1.1 million units. This is not a minor fluctuation but a significant downward trend.

History shows that heavy truck sales are often a leading indicator of economic cycles. Before past recessions, this number would typically signal an early warning. Based on historical patterns, in the next 6 months, the unemployment rate could rise by at least 1.0 percentage points. The labor market is under increasing downward pressure.

For traders concerned with the correlation between macroeconomics and asset prices, these data are worth paying attention to. Rising unemployment rates are often accompanied by increased market volatility, and such cycle signals can provide useful reference for investment decisions.

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MEVHunterWang

· 12-24 12:51

Truck sales drop so sharply, is this really the end this time? Historical patterns are easy to talk about, but betting on them really hurts... 1.1 million units? Feels worse than expected, better prepare to cut losses. If the unemployment rate is going to rise, what should I do with my positions... Leading indicators of the economic cycle, are they always accurate? I have some doubts. This downturn came too suddenly, can we rebound this year? Truck sales = economic barometer, does this logic also apply in the crypto world? A drop of 1.1 million isn't a small fluctuation; it feels like the market is already pricing it in. If the labor market is about to collapse, how will assets move... feeling conflicted. If the unemployment rate rises by 1% within six months, should I adjust my portfolio?

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MrRightClick

· 12-24 12:51

The decline of 1.1 million vehicles, is it really coming now? --- Truck sales plummeting, is the unemployment rate about to break the record? I'm quickly increasing my short positions. --- It's the same theory again, will history repeat itself? Anyway, I'm already prepared. --- Hmm... let's see what those big influencers say, then I'll decide whether to cut losses or buy the dip. --- Wait... should this data be adjusted? It's too frightening. --- So, can I still buy the dip now? Seeking expert advice. --- 18 months, 1.1 million vehicles, this acceleration is a bit intense.

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0xLostKey

· 12-24 12:45

Truck sales are so miserable, it really feels different this time. Will history repeat itself? Was it like this last time too, and then it just collapsed? But traders should be nervous, is a wave of unemployment coming? Wait, is this data reliable? Why does it feel a bit risky? They're starting to predict a recession again, I hear this every day.

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