#以太坊行情解读 ⚡ Short-term adjustments vs. long-term cycles — Understanding the true logic of Bitcoin



Recently, there have been voices in the market suggesting: "Asset management giants sold over $200 million worth of positions near the $88,000 mark." This move indeed hit a sensitive time window precisely, which naturally raises some suspense. But to understand whether this is truly a "change in trend" or not, we need to look at the data.

💡 A ten-year proven pattern is in front of us:

Bitcoin has never experienced two consecutive years of annual decline in its history. After each deep correction, it always sees a larger rebound —

· 2014 closed down → rebound in 2015
· 2018 closed down → rebound in 2019
· 2022 closed down → nearly 160% increase in 2023

The average increase over these ten years is 126%. If we extrapolate this cycle, assuming a final decline in 2025, the potential target for 2026 could be in the range of $125,000 to $200,000.

🔍 Now, looking at this wave of institutional selling:

Rather than calling it "escape," it’s better understood as profit-taking or rebalancing — this is a short-term tactic of institutions, and it does not contradict the long-term script of "big gains after a down year." The real big move often quietly unfolds during the stalemate between bulls and bears, when retail investors are repeatedly entangled.

So, the current strategy is very clear: stay firm, ignore short-term noise, and respect market cycles. The true opportunity may be hidden in the fluctuations right in front of us. $BTC $ETH $BNB

💭 What do you think about this adjustment? Is it a tactical retreat by institutions, or a buildup before the next surge?
BTC0.7%
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GasDevourervip
· 5h ago
Uh... about the institution selling 200 million, to be honest, it's a bit of an overinterpretation, just like retail investors cutting losses, it doesn't represent any major trend. The historical patterns are there, and reaching 200,000 by 2026 still has some room for imagination.
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GateUser-9f682d4cvip
· 5h ago
Here we go again with this "historical pattern," sounding like a comic dialogue... But honestly, a 126% average increase is hard to believe. I bet five bucks that it can reach 200,000 by 2026.
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0xSunnyDayvip
· 5h ago
Once again, it's the same "historical pattern." I just want to ask, will this time be an exception? Institutions throwing in 200 million USD is no joke.
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