S&P 500 30-day implied volatility snapshot: ATM (at-the-money) vol trading sub-11.0 currently. The upside picture (+1 SD): 7130 level sits at 9.0 vol—notably compressed. Downside (-1 SD): 6700 carries 14.0 vol, showing the asymmetry in the market's fear gauge.
For traders tracking cross-asset correlations, this traditional market volatility regime matters. Tighter ATM vol on equities while maintaining skew tension suggests measured optimism with lingering tail-risk hedging. Worth monitoring how this regime shift influences crypto market participants who often use macro vol as a macro compass.
This page may contain third-party content, which is provided for information purposes only (not representations/warranties) and should not be considered as an endorsement of its views by Gate, nor as financial or professional advice. See Disclaimer for details.
23 Likes
Reward
23
7
Repost
Share
Comment
0/400
RektButStillHere
· 2025-12-27 17:18
ATM drops below 11, really can't hold it anymore, only 14 volume on the downside? Isn't this a classic case of market self-deception... Crypto veterans are now all watching macro vol, waiting to follow the trend and dump.
View OriginalReply0
ZenMiner
· 2025-12-26 10:11
ATM vol breaking 11 and starting to panic? I see the downside at 14.0... Hey, now that's real fear.
View OriginalReply0
Web3ExplorerLin
· 2025-12-24 19:53
hypothesis: the vol skew here is basically the market's way of saying "we're chill but not *that* chill"—classic risk-off posturing dressed up as confidence, tbh
Reply0
MetaDreamer
· 2025-12-24 19:42
It's really outrageous that ATM volatility drops below 11. Only 9.0 on the upside, nobody is afraid of a rise... On the other hand, around 6700, it's at 14.0. Honestly, it's just being timid; everyone is buying the dips.
View OriginalReply0
BridgeTrustFund
· 2025-12-24 19:38
ATM vol has broken 11, but the fear index at 14.0 on the downside is still there... It feels like the market just wants to pretend nothing's wrong, but in reality, it's frantically buying insurance.
View OriginalReply0
PerpetualLonger
· 2025-12-24 19:36
Adding to full positions is the way to go. The current low volatility indicates that institutions are secretly accumulating. I told you, retail traders in the air force are still sleepwalking.
View OriginalReply0
PancakeFlippa
· 2025-12-24 19:33
Has the ATM vol dropped below 11? Now the upward space is tightly constrained. The 9.0 vol at 7130 is really too tight... On the downside, there's still support at 14.0. What is the market afraid of?
S&P 500 30-day implied volatility snapshot: ATM (at-the-money) vol trading sub-11.0 currently. The upside picture (+1 SD): 7130 level sits at 9.0 vol—notably compressed. Downside (-1 SD): 6700 carries 14.0 vol, showing the asymmetry in the market's fear gauge.
For traders tracking cross-asset correlations, this traditional market volatility regime matters. Tighter ATM vol on equities while maintaining skew tension suggests measured optimism with lingering tail-risk hedging. Worth monitoring how this regime shift influences crypto market participants who often use macro vol as a macro compass.