December 24 ETH Technical Analysis Strategy (As of 13:30, current price approximately 2950 USD)

• Core Judgment: Short-term oscillation leaning bearish, primarily high positions with supplementary low positions; low liquidity during Christmas holiday, strictly control positions and stop-losses.

Key Price Levels (Multiple Timeframes)

• Support: 2930 (intraday) → 2880 (4H) → 2840-2860 (Weekly strong support) → 2780 (extreme defense)

• Resistance: 2980 (4H midline) → 3010 (Fibonacci) → 3050 (psychological/trend line) → 3120 (Weekly confirmation level)

Indicator Overview

• Daily: RSI 42.8 (neutral leaning weak); MACD green bars slightly shrinking but main line still negative, bearish structure unchanged

• 4H: Moving averages in bearish alignment, price near lower Bollinger Band, weak rebound

• 2H: Short-term oversold recovery in progress, encountering resistance on rebound indicating potential reversal to bearish

Actionable Strategies (Scenario-based)

1. High-Position Strategy (Main Strategy)

◦ Entry: Resistance at 2960-2980 (e.g., top pattern/volume contraction), light position 10%-15% short

◦ Add Position: Rebound to 3010-3030 encountering resistance again, add 10% short

◦ Stop-Loss: Set above 3060 (weekly resistance + holiday volatility buffer)

◦ Take Profit: First target 2880 (reduce 50%), second target 2840-2860 (close position)

2. Low-Position Strategy (Auxiliary, only when support is effective)

◦ Entry: Stabilization at 2840-2860 (e.g., bottom pattern/volume rebound), light position 10% long

◦ Stop-Loss: Below 2810 (if strong support breaks, reverse position)

◦ Take Profit: 2930-2950 (rebound resistance zone, exit in batches)

3. Breakout Response

◦ Break above 3060 and stabilize: retest 3020-3030 for long, stop-loss at 3000, target 3100-3120

◦ Break below 2810: rebound to 2840-2860 for short, stop-loss at 2880, target 2780

Risk Management Rules

• Total position ≤ 30%, single asset ≤ 15%; individual stop-loss ≤ 2% of account

• Due to poor liquidity during Christmas holiday, avoid overnight heavy positions; try to reduce to light or close positions before market close