December 25, 2025

After a 17% increase from BTC 11.21-12.11, I re-entered on 12.19. The subsequent BTC trend was not very promising. Last night, after a false break below the 86,600 low, I tweeted that the Gann angle line was not broken. The subsequent market confirmed that the view was correct; it was indeed a false break.

The future BTC trend is likely to develop as follows:

First, look at the smaller timeframe. I indicated yesterday that there would be a rebound. Currently, from 86,420, the rebound has exceeded 1,000+. It appears to be a rebound targeting the red box 90,588-86,420 decline. If this is the case, the rebound has met the basic requirements and could end at any time.

If BTC can push up to around 89,300 and break through effectively, it may develop into the blue route, which is the last rebound against the blue box 94,600-84,450 decline, with a break above 90,600 assuming validity. This level is larger, with potential rebounds to 91,000 or 92,000.

For a larger timeframe, refer to Chart 2:

The trend of the red and blue routes is the same. The difference lies in whether BTC will strengthen or weaken next. If it strengthens, the subsequent correction's endpoint will not break the previous low of 80,600 (a very strong rally could see an endpoint above 83,600). If it weakens, it might break below 80,600. The common point is that after finding the correction endpoint at the end of this month or early next month, there will be another upward wave, which should be quite substantial.

After rising to mid-January, BTC may continue to decline until March. At that time, we will analyze based on the specific market conditions. Stay tuned.