2025-12-25 09:22:05

Alternative Ways to Make Money in the Prediction Market: The New Coin Shorting Trend

Recently, an interesting trading case was discovered. A trader has found a way to play the prediction market—focusing exclusively on new coin launches of crypto projects by betting on poor performance of project tokens to profit.

The track record speaks for itself: out of 38 trades, 36 were successful, maintaining a win rate of 95%. Since starting in September, the cumulative profit has reached $133,000.

The logic behind this strategy is actually not complicated. New coin launches are often accompanied by high expectations and hype, but whether the project's fundamentals can support this enthusiasm is another matter. The trader precisely capitalizes on this gap, repeatedly betting with small positions, ultimately accumulating gains. This seemingly simple idea requires a deep understanding of projects, market cycles, and risk management to execute effectively. This type of trading is not uncommon in the prediction market ecosystem, but those who can consistently maintain a high win rate and stable profits are always a minority.

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DegenWhisperer

· 4h ago

A 95% win rate sounds unbelievable, but new coins are indeed easy to be overvalued. This guy might have really found a trick. I understand the logic of shorting new coins—it's basically betting on project teams跑路 or hype fading... However, very few can execute it consistently. $130,000 sounds great, but I'm just worried about a crash someday... Accumulating small positions with this move is still clever. The wave of new coin issuance was definitely a bubble, but not many dare to go against the trend... You need to have mental preparation. This strategy feels like betting on human nature—when new coins surge, it's human nature at play; shorting is betting on rationality returning. Such a high win rate actually makes me cautious; when the market turns, it's time to cut losses... Don't end up losing everything in the end. In the wave of new coins, everyone is indeed a rookie; if someone can short the whales in the opposite direction, it feels pretty good.

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CommunityJanitor

· 13h ago

95% win rate, this data sounds a bit suspicious... Can it really be this stable? New coins breaking their initial price is indeed common, but shorting also depends on timing. The risk isn't that simple. This guy might have just caught the gap between the project's hype and its actual value, and luck also plays a role. Want to try but not confident, afraid of hitting a mine and getting hurt. Everyone wants to make money from shorting, but the key is to survive long enough, right?

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Frontrunner

· 14h ago

Is a 95% win rate real? Feels like the market isn't that easy to exploit. New coins breaking their launch prices is normal, but consistently making money? You need to understand the projects better. Shorting is a skill; most people are just along for the ride. I agree with this logic, but are you willing to bet big when it comes to execution? Repeatedly betting with small positions sounds great, but in practice... the risks haven't been fully considered. $130,000 sounds like a lot, but can it be replicated? Feels like survivor bias. The moment the enthusiasm for new coins fades is the real harvesting time. What does a 95% win rate indicate? It shows strong selection ability. Making money by shorting new coins is correct, but this trader has definitely stepped on many pits. If this strategy were so simple, it would be everywhere by now... I remain skeptical.

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MEVHunterX

· 14h ago

95% win rate? Bro, this data definitely needs a question mark. Everyone knows new coins are for harvesting retail investors, but few can maintain this level of performance. How brave do you have to be to short new coins... Most people are still FOMOing. $130,000 is not a small amount, but the key is how this guy manages to control the risk so tightly? Repeated small positions can lead to a risk-free profit? I don’t think it’s that simple. The strategy looks simple, but executing it is a matter of life and death... This is the real truth of trading. Is the market now so competitive that everyone is starting to target new coins for harvesting retail investors?

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